Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014.

AliciaRosello; MathiasMossoko; Stefan Flasche ORCID logo; Albert JanVan Hoek; PlacideMbala; Anton Camacho ORCID logo; Sebastian Funk ORCID logo; Adam Kucharski ORCID logo; Benoit KebelaIlunga; W John Edmunds ORCID logo; +3 more... PeterPiot; Marc Baguelin ORCID logo; Jean-Jacques MuyembeTamfum; (2015) Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014. eLife, 4 (NOVEMB). ISSN 2050-084X DOI: 10.7554/eLife.09015
Copy

The Democratic Republic of the Congo has experienced the most outbreaks of Ebola virus disease since the virus' discovery in 1976. This article provides for the first time a description and a line list for all outbreaks in this country, comprising 996 cases. Compared to patients over 15 years old, the odds of dying were significantly lower in patients aged 5 to 15 and higher in children under five (with 100% mortality in those under 2 years old). The odds of dying increased by 11% per day that a patient was not hospitalised. Outbreaks with an initially high reproduction number, R (>3), were rapidly brought under control, whilst outbreaks with a lower initial R caused longer and generally larger outbreaks. These findings can inform the choice of target age groups for interventions and highlight the importance of both reducing the delay between symptom onset and hospitalisation and rapid national and international response.



picture_as_pdf
elife09015.pdf
subject
Published Version
Available under Creative Commons: 3.0

View Download

Explore Further

Read more research from the creator(s):

Find work associated with the faculties and division(s):

Find work associated with the research centre(s):

Find work from this publication:

Find other related resources: