Secondary attack rates in primary and secondary school bubbles following a confirmed case: Active, prospective national surveillance, November to December 2020, England.

Annabel A Powell; Georgina Ireland; Frances Baawuah; Joanne Beckmann; Ifeanyichukwu O Okike; Shazaad Ahmad; Joanna Garstang ORCID logo; Andrew J Brent; Bernadette Brent; Felicity Aiano ORCID logo; +20 more... James Hargreaves ORCID logo; Sinéad M Langan ORCID logo; Punam Mangtani ORCID logo; Patrick Nguipdop-Djomo ORCID logo; Joanna Sturgess ORCID logo; William Oswald ORCID logo; Katherine Halliday ORCID logo; Emma Rourke; Fiona Dawe; Zahin Amin-Chowdhury; Meaghan Kall; Maria Zambon; John Poh; Samreen Ijaz; Angie Lackenby; Joanna Elli; Kevin E Brown; Sir Ian Diamond; Mary E Ramsay; Shamez N Ladhani; (2022) Secondary attack rates in primary and secondary school bubbles following a confirmed case: Active, prospective national surveillance, November to December 2020, England. PloS One, 17 (2). e0262515-. ISSN 1932-6203 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262515
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BACKGROUND: Following the full re-opening of schools in England and emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant, we investigated the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in students and staff who were contacts of a confirmed case in a school bubble (school groupings with limited interactions), along with their household members. METHODS: Primary and secondary school bubbles were recruited into sKIDsBUBBLE after being sent home to self-isolate following a confirmed case of COVID-19 in the bubble. Bubble participants and their household members were sent home-testing kits comprising nasal swabs for RT-PCR testing and whole genome sequencing, and oral fluid swabs for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. RESULTS: During November-December 2020, 14 bubbles were recruited from 7 schools, including 269 bubble contacts (248 students, 21 staff) and 823 household contacts (524 adults, 299 children). The secondary attack rate was 10.0% (6/60) in primary and 3.9% (4/102) in secondary school students, compared to 6.3% (1/16) and 0% (0/1) among staff, respectively. The incidence rate for household contacts of primary school students was 6.6% (12/183) and 3.7% (1/27) for household contacts of primary school staff. In secondary schools, this was 3.5% (11/317) and 0% (0/1), respectively. Household contacts were more likely to test positive if their bubble contact tested positive although there were new infections among household contacts of uninfected bubble contacts. INTERPRETATION: Compared to other institutional settings, the overall risk of secondary infection in school bubbles and their household contacts was low. Our findings are important for developing evidence-based infection prevention guidelines for educational settings.


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