Items where Research Centre is "Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases"
Research Centres (23573)
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (478)
Number of items: 115.
December 2021
Effect of evidence updates on key determinants of measles vaccination impact: a DynaMICE modelling study in ten high-burden countries. (2021)
Fu, Han; Abbas, Kaja; Klepac, Petra; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Tanvir, Hira; Portnoy, Allison; Jit, Mark
SARS-CoV-2 infection risk during delivery of childhood vaccination campaigns: a modelling study. (2021)
Procter, Simon R; Abbas, Kaja; Flasche, Stefan; Griffiths, Ulla; Hagedorn, Brittany; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jit, Mark
November 2021
How can the public health impact of vaccination be estimated? (2021)
Echeverria-Londono, Susy; Li, Xiang; Toor, Jaspreet; de Villiers, Margaret J; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Hallett, Timothy B; Abbas, Kaja; Jit, Mark; Klepac, Petra; Jean, Kévin; Garske, Tini; Ferguson, Neil M; Gaythorpe, Katy AM
Modelling the Risks of Measles Outbreaks Near Elimination. (2021)
Robert, A
Projections of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination impact in Ethiopia, India, Nigeria and Pakistan: a comparative modelling study. (2021)
Portnoy, Allison; Abbas, Kaja; Sweet, Steven; Kim, Jane J; Jit, Mark
July 2021
Disruptions to childhood immunisation due to the COVID-19 pandemic. (2021)
Abbas, Kaja; Mogasale, Vittal
Lives saved with vaccination for 10 pathogens across 112 countries in a pre-COVID-19 world. (2021)
Toor, Jaspreet; Echeverria-Londono, Susy; Li, Xiang; Abbas, Kaja; Carter, Emily D; Clapham, Hannah E; Clark, Andrew; de Villiers, Margaret J; Eilertson, Kirsten; Ferrari, Matthew; Gamkrelidze, Ivane; Hallett, Timothy B; Hinsley, Wes R; Hogan, Daniel; Huber, John H; Jackson, Michael L; Jean, Kevin; Jit, Mark; Karachaliou, Andromachi; Klepac, Petra; Kraay, Alicia; Lessler, Justin; Li, Xi; Lopman, Benjamin A; Mengistu, Tewodaj; Metcalf, C Jessica E; Moore, Sean M; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Papadopoulos, Timos; Perkins, T Alex; Portnoy, Allison; Razavi, Homie; Razavi-Shearer, Devin; Resch, Stephen; Sanderson, Colin; Sweet, Steven; Tam, Yvonne; Tanvir, Hira; Tran Minh, Quan; Trotter, Caroline L; Truelove, Shaun A; Vynnycky, Emilia; Walker, Neff; Winter, Amy; Woodruff, Kim; Ferguson, Neil M; Gaythorpe, Katy Am
Roles of heterogeneity in infectious disease epidemiology: implications on dynamics, inference and control of influenza and COVID-19. (2021)
Endo, A
June 2021
Impact of COVID-19-related disruptions to measles, meningococcal A, and yellow fever vaccination in 10 countries. (2021)
Gaythorpe, Katy Am; Abbas, Kaja; Huber, John; Karachaliou, Andromachi; Thakkar, Niket; Woodruff, Kim; Li, Xiang; Echeverria-Londono, Susy; VIMC Working Group on COVID-19 Impact on Vaccine Preventable Dis; Ferrari, Matthew; Jackson, Michael L; McCarthy, Kevin; Perkins, T Alex; Trotter, Caroline; Jit, Mark
o2geosocial: Reconstructing who-infected-whom from routinely collected surveillance data. (2021)
Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J
What Can Modeling Tell Us About Sustainable End Points for Neglected Tropical Diseases? (2021)
Minter, Amanda; Pellis, Lorenzo; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre
Inequities in childhood immunisation coverage associated with socioeconomic, geographic, maternal, child, and place of birth characteristics in Kenya. (2021)
Allan, Simon; Adetifa, Ifedayo MO; Abbas, Kaja
Tuberculosis in the Western Pacific Region: Estimating the burden of disease and return on investment 2020–2030 in four countries. (2021)
Estill, Janne; Islam, Tauhid; Houben, Rein MGJ; Rudman, Jamie; Ragonnet, Romain; McBryde, Emma S; Trauer, James M; Orel, Erol; Nguyen, Anh Tuan; Rahevar, Kalpeshsinh; Morishita, Fukushi; Oh, Kyung Hyun; Raviglione, Mario C; Keiser, Olivia
Policy actors and human and animal health practitioners' perceptions of antimicrobial use and resistance in Tanzania: A qualitative study. (2021)
Frumence, Gasto; Mboera, Leonard EG; Katale, Bugwesa Z; Sindato, Calvin; Kimera, Sharadhuli; Durrance-Bagale, Anna; Mshana, Stephen E; Clark, Taane G; Rweyemamu, Mark M; Legido-Quigley, Helena; Matee, Mecky
Competition between RSV and influenza: Limits of modelling inference from surveillance data. (2021)
Waterlow, Naomi R; Flasche, Stefan; Minter, Amanda; Eggo, Rosalind M
May 2021
Quarantine and testing strategies in contact tracing for SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study. (2021)
Quilty, Billy J; Clifford, Samuel; Hellewell, Joel; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Flasche, Stefan; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV
Impact of increased ventilation on indoor temperature and malaria mosquito density: an experimental study in The Gambia. (2021)
Jatta, Ebrima; Carrasco-Tenezaca, Majo; Jawara, Musa; Bradley, John; Ceesay, Sainey; D'Alessandro, Umberto; Jeffries, David; Kandeh, Balla; Lee, Daniel Sang-Hoon; Pinder, Margaret; Wilson, Anne L; Knudsen, Jakob; Lindsay, Steve W
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COVID-19 vaccine challenges: What have we learned so far and what remains to be done? (2021)
Forman, Rebecca; Shah, Soleil; Jeurissen, Patrick; Jit, Mark; Mossialos, Elias
The impact of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunisation on all-cause pneumonia admissions in Hong Kong: A 14-year population-based interrupted time series analysis. (2021)
Yu, Qiuyan; Li, Xue; Fan, Min; Qiu, Hong; Wong, Angel YS; Tian, Linwei; Chui, Celine SL; Li, Philip H; Lau, Lauren KW; Chan, Esther W; Goggins, William B; Ip, Patrick; Lum, Terry Y; Hung, Ivan FN; Cowling, Benjamin J; Wong, Ian CK; Jit, Mark
Towards Evidence-based Control of Opisthorchis viverrini. (2021)
Crellen, Thomas; Sithithaworn, Paiboon; Pitaksakulrat, Opal; Khuntikeo, Narong; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre
The impact of population-wide rapid antigen testing on SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in Slovakia. (2021)
Pavelka, Martin; Van-Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Sherratt, Katharine; Majdan, Marek; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Inštitút Zdravotných Analýz; Jarčuška, Pavol; Krajčí, Marek; Flasche, Stefan; Funk, Sebastian
HIV Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis, Condoms, or Both? Insights on Risk Compensation Through a Discrete Choice Experiment and Latent Class Analysis Among Men Who Have Sex With Men. (2021)
Tan, Rayner Kay Jin; Wang, Yi; Prem, Kiesha; Harrison-Quintana, Jack; Teo, Alvin Kuo Jing; Kaur, Nashwinder; Cook, Alex R; Chen, Mark I-Cheng; Wong, Chen Seong
Extreme weather conditions and dengue outbreak in Guangdong, China: Spatial heterogeneity based on climate variability. (2021)
Cheng, Jian; Bambrick, Hilary; Yakob, Laith; Devine, Gregor; Frentiu, Francesca D; Williams, Gail; Li, Zhongjie; Yang, Weizhong; Hu, Wenbiao
April 2021
Adverse pregnancy outcomes are associated with Plasmodium vivax malaria in a prospective cohort of women from the Brazilian Amazon. (2021)
Dombrowski, Jamille Gregório; Barateiro, André; Peixoto, Erika Paula Machado; Barros, André Boler Cláudio da Silva; Souza, Rodrigo Medeiros de; Clark, Taane Gregory; Campino, Susana; Wrenger, Carsten; Wunderlich, Gerhard; Palmisano, Giuseppe; Epiphanio, Sabrina; Gonçalves, Lígia Antunes; Marinho, Claudio Romero Farias
Dynamics of sputum conversion during effective tuberculosis treatment: A systematic review and meta-analysis. (2021)
Calderwood, Claire J; Wilson, James P; Fielding, Katherine L; Harris, Rebecca C; Karat, Aaron S; Mansukhani, Raoul; Falconer, Jane; Bergstrom, Malin; Johnson, Sarah M; McCreesh, Nicky; Monk, Edward JM; Odayar, Jasantha; Scott, Peter J; Stokes, Sarah A; Theodorou, Hannah; Moore, David AJ
Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria. (2021)
Watson, Oliver J; Alhaffar, Mervat; Mehchy, Zaki; Whittaker, Charles; Akil, Zack; Brazeau, Nicholas F; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Hamlet, Arran; Thompson, Hayley A; Baguelin, Marc; FitzJohn, Richard G; Knock, Edward; Lees, John A; Whittles, Lilith K; Mellan, Thomas; Winskill, Peter; Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team; Howard, Natasha; Clapham, Hannah; Checchi, Francesco; Ferguson, Neil; Ghani, Azra; Beals, Emma; Walker, Patrick
Smallholder Cassava Planting Material Movement and Grower Behavior in Zambia: Implications for the Management of Cassava Virus Diseases. (2021)
Szyniszewska, Anna Maria; Chikoti, Patrick Chiza; Tembo, Mathias; Mulenga, Rabson; Gilligan, Christopher Aidan; van den Bosch, Frank; McQuaid, Christopher Finn
Validation of a host blood transcriptomic biomarker for pulmonary tuberculosis in people living with HIV: a prospective diagnostic and prognostic accuracy study. (2021)
Mendelsohn, Simon C; Fiore-Gartland, Andrew; Penn-Nicholson, Adam; Mulenga, Humphrey; Mbandi, Stanley Kimbung; Borate, Bhavesh; Hadley, Katie; Hikuam, Chris; Musvosvi, Munyaradzi; Bilek, Nicole; Erasmus, Mzwandile; Jaxa, Lungisa; Raphela, Rodney; Nombida, Onke; Kaskar, Masooda; Sumner, Tom; White, Richard G; Innes, Craig; Brumskine, William; Hiemstra, Andriëtte; Malherbe, Stephanus T; Hassan-Moosa, Razia; Tameris, Michèle; Walzl, Gerhard; Naidoo, Kogieleum; Churchyard, Gavin; Scriba, Thomas J; Hatherill, Mark; CORTIS-HR Study Team
Healthcare governance during humanitarian responses: a survey of current practice among international humanitarian actors. (2021)
Jarrett, Prudence; Fozdar, Yasin; Abdelmagid, Nada; Checchi, Francesco
G6PD Polymorphisms and Hemolysis After Antimalarial Treatment With Low Single-Dose Primaquine: A Pooled Analysis of Six African Clinical Trials. (2021)
Sepúlveda, Nuno; Grignard, Lynn; Curry, Jonathan; Mahey, Laleta; Bastiaens, Guido JH; Tiono, Alfred B; Okebe, Joseph; Coulibaly, Sam A; Gonçalves, Bronner P; Affara, Muna; Ouédraogo, Alphonse; Bougouma, Edith C; Sanou, Guillaume S; Nébié, Issa; Lanke, Kjerstin; Sirima, Sodiomon B; Dicko, Alassane; d'Alessandro, Umberto; Clark, Taane G; Campino, Susana; Chen, Ingrid; Eziefula, Alice C; Gosling, Roly; Bousema, Teun; Drakeley, Chris
Improved housing versus usual practice for additional protection against clinical malaria in The Gambia (RooPfs): a household-randomised controlled trial. (2021)
Pinder, Margaret; Bradley, John; Jawara, Musa; Affara, Muna; Conteh, Lesong; Correa, Simon; Jeffries, David; Jones, Caroline; Kandeh, Balla; Knudsen, Jakob; Olatunji, Yekini; Sicuri, Elisa; D'Alessandro, Umberto; Lindsay, Steve W
Cultural and linguistic adaptation of the multi-dimensional OXCAP-MH for outcome measurement of mental health among people living with HIV/AIDS in Uganda: the Luganda version. (2021)
Katumba, Kenneth R; Laurence, Yoko V; Tenywa, Patrick; Ssebunnya, Joshua; Laszewska, Agata; Simon, Judit; Vassall, Anna; Kinyanda, Eugene; Greco, Giulia
Comparison of Public Responses to Containment Measures During the Initial Outbreak and Resurgence of COVID-19 in China: Infodemiology Study. (2021)
Zhou, Xinyu; Song, Yi; Jiang, Hao; Wang, Qian; Qu, Zhiqiang; Zhou, Xiaoyu; Jit, Mark; Hou, Zhiyuan; Lin, Leesa
Tranexamic acid to reduce head injury death in people with traumatic brain injury: the CRASH-3 international RCT. (2021)
Roberts, Ian; Shakur-Still, Haleema; Aeron-Thomas, Amy; Beaumont, Danielle; Belli, Antonio; Brenner, Amy; Cargill, Madeleine; Chaudhri, Rizwana; Douglas, Nicolas; Frimley, Lauren; Gilliam, Catherine; Geer, Amber; Jamal, Zahra; Jooma, Rashid; Mansukhani, Raoul; Miners, Alec; Pott, Jason; Prowse, Danielle; Shokunbi, Temitayo; Williams, Jack
A regional suitable conditions index to forecast the impact of climate change on dengue vectorial capacity. (2021)
Davis, Callan; Murphy, Amanda K; Bambrick, Hilary; Devine, Gregor J; Frentiu, Francesca D; Yakob, Laith; Huang, Xiaodong; Li, Zhongjie; Yang, Weizhong; Williams, Gail; Hu, Wenbiao
March 2021
Drug resistance profile and clonality of Plasmodium falciparum parasites in Cape Verde: the 2017 malaria outbreak. (2021)
Da Veiga Leal, Silvania; Ward, Daniel; Campino, Susana; Benavente, Ernest Diez; Ibrahim, Amy; Claret, Tânia; Isaías, Varela; Monteiro, Davidson; Clark, Taane G; Gonçalves, Luzia; Valdez, Tomas; da Luz Lima Mendonça, Maria; Silveira, Henrique; Nogueira, Fatima
The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. (2021)
Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan
The consequences of declining population access to insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) on net use patterns and physical degradation of nets after 22 months of ownership. (2021)
Mboma, Zawadi M; Festo, Charles; Lorenz, Lena M; Massue, Dennis J; Kisinza, William N; Bradley, John; Moore, Jason D; Mandike, Renata; Akim, Ikupa; Lines, Jo; Overgaard, Hans J; Moore, Sarah J
The impact of COVID-19 on TB: a review of the data. (2021)
McQuaid, CF; Vassall, A; Cohen, T; Fiekert, K; White, RG
Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England. (2021)
Munday, James D; Sherratt, Katharine; Meakin, Sophie; Endo, Akira; Pearson, Carl AB; Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Bosse, Nikos I; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Atkins, Katherine E; Wallinga, Jacco; Edmunds, W John; van Hoek, Albert Jan; Funk, Sebastian
Does Ghana's National Health Insurance Scheme provide financial protection to tuberculosis patients and their households? (2021)
Pedrazzoli, Debora; Carter, Daniel J; Borghi, Josephine; Laokri, Samia; Boccia, Delia; Houben, Rein Mgj
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Gametocyte carriage after seasonal malaria chemoprevention in Plasmodium falciparum infected asymptomatic children. (2021)
Ahmad, Abdullahi; Prom, Aurelia; Bradley, John; Ndiath, Mamadou; Etoketim, Blessed; Bah, Mamadou; Van Geertruyden, Jean-Pierre; Drakeley, Chris; Bousema, Teun; Achan, Jane; D'Alessandro, Umberto
Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States. (2021)
Monod, Mélodie; Blenkinsop, Alexandra; Xi, Xiaoyue; Hebert, Daniel; Bershan, Sivan; Tietze, Simon; Baguelin, Marc; Bradley, Valerie C; Chen, Yu; Coupland, Helen; Filippi, Sarah; Ish-Horowicz, Jonathan; McManus, Martin; Mellan, Thomas; Gandy, Axel; Hutchinson, Michael; Unwin, H Juliette T; van Elsland, Sabine L; Vollmer, Michaela AC; Weber, Sebastian; Zhu, Harrison; Bezancon, Anne; Ferguson, Neil M; Mishra, Swapnil; Flaxman, Seth; Bhatt, Samir; Ratmann, Oliver; Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team
Costs and cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer screening strategies in women living with HIV in Burkina Faso: The HPV in Africa Research Partnership (HARP) study. (2021)
Devine, Angela; Vahanian, Alice; Sawadogo, Bernard; Zan, Souleymane; Bocoum, Fadima Yaya; Kelly, Helen; Gilham, Clare; Nagot, Nicolas; Ong, Jason J; Legood, Rosa; Meda, Nicolas; Miners, Alec; Mayaud, Philippe; HARP Consortium
Modeling the Interruption of the Transmission of Soil-Transmitted Helminths Infections in Kenya: Modeling Deworming, Water, and Sanitation Impacts. (2021)
Okoyo, Collins; Medley, Graham; Mwandawiro, Charles; Onyango, Nelson
Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic: a geospatial and statistical analysis in Aden governorate, Yemen. (2021)
Koum Besson, Emilie S; Norris, Andy; Bin Ghouth, Abdulla S; Freemantle, Terri; Alhaffar, Mervat; Vazquez, Yolanda; Reeve, Chris; Curran, Patrick J; Checchi, Francesco
Methylation analysis of Klebsiella pneumoniae from Portuguese hospitals. (2021)
Spadar, Anton; Perdigão, João; Phelan, Jody; Charleston, James; Modesto, Ana; Elias, Rita; de Sessions, Paola Florez; Hibberd, Martin L; Campino, Susana; Duarte, Aida; Clark, Taane G
High initial IgG antibody levels against Orientia tsutsugamushi are associated with an increased risk of severe scrub typhus infection. (2021)
Devamani, Carol S; Prakash, John AJ; Alexander, Neal; Stone, William; Gunasekaran, Karthik; Rose, Winsley; Schmidt, Wolf-Peter
Association between living with children and outcomes from covid-19: OpenSAFELY cohort study of 12 million adults in England. (2021)
Forbes, Harriet; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Seb; McDonald, Helen I; Minassian, Caroline; Brown, Jeremy P; Rentsch, Christopher T; Mathur, Rohini; Schultze, Anna; DeVito, Nicholas J; MacKenna, Brian; Hulme, William J; Croker, Richard; Walker, Alex J; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Bates, Chris; Mehrkar, Amir; Curtis, Helen J; Evans, David; Wing, Kevin; Inglesby, Peter; Drysdale, Henry; Wong, Angel YS; Cockburn, Jonathan; McManus, Robert; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Douglas, Ian J; Smeeth, Liam; Evans, Stephen JW; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Goldacre, Ben; Tomlinson, Laurie A
Case fatality risk of the SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern B.1.1.7 in England, 16 November to 5 February. (2021)
Grint, Daniel J; Wing, Kevin; Williamson, Elizabeth; McDonald, Helen I; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Evans, David; Evans, Stephen Jw; Walker, Alex J; Hickman, George; Nightingale, Emily; Schultze, Anna; Rentsch, Christopher T; Bates, Chris; Cockburn, Jonathan; Curtis, Helen J; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Sebastian; Davy, Simon; Wong, Angel Ys; Mehrkar, Amir; Tomlinson, Laurie; Douglas, Ian J; Mathur, Rohini; Blomquist, Paula; MacKenna, Brian; Ingelsby, Peter; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; DeVito, Nicholas J; Hulme, Will; Tazare, John; Goldacre, Ben; Smeeth, Liam; Eggo, Rosalind M
Increased mortality in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7. (2021)
Davies, Nicholas G; Jarvis, Christopher I; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Edmunds, W John; Jewell, Nicholas P; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth H
Interactions between timing and transmissibility explain diverse flavivirus dynamics in Fiji. (2021)
Henderson, Alasdair D; Kama, Mike; Aubry, Maite; Hue, Stephane; Teissier, Anita; Naivalu, Taina; Bechu, Vinaisi D; Kailawadoko, Jimaima; Rabukawaqa, Isireli; Sahukhan, Aalisha; Hibberd, Martin L; Nilles, Eric J; Funk, Sebastian; Whitworth, Jimmy; Watson, Conall H; Lau, Colleen L; Edmunds, W John; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; Kucharski, Adam J
Clusters of Drug-Resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis Detected by Whole-Genome Sequence Analysis of Nationwide Sample, Thailand, 2014-2017. (2021)
Nonghanphithak, Ditthawat; Chaiprasert, Angkana; Smithtikarn, Saijai; Kamolwat, Phalin; Pungrassami, Petchawan; Chongsuvivatwong, Virasakdi; Mahasirimongkol, Surakameth; Reechaipichitkul, Wipa; Leepiyasakulchai, Chaniya; Phelan, Jody E; Blair, David; Clark, Taane G; Faksri, Kiatichai
UK prevalence of underlying conditions which increase the risk of severe COVID-19 disease: a point prevalence study using electronic health records. (2021)
Walker, Jemma L; Grint, Daniel J; Strongman, Helen; Eggo, Rosalind M; Peppa, Maria; Minassian, Caroline; Mansfield, Kathryn E; Rentsch, Christopher T; Douglas, Ian J; Mathur, Rohini; Wong, Angel YS; Quint, Jennifer K; Andrews, Nick; Bernal, Jamie Lopez; Scott, J Anthony; Ramsay, Mary; Smeeth, Liam; McDonald, Helen I
Affordability of Adult Tuberculosis Vaccination in India and China: A Dynamic Transmission Model-Based Analysis. (2021)
Weerasuriya, Chathika Krishan; Harris, Rebecca Claire; Quaife, Matthew; McQuaid, Christopher Finn; White, Richard G; Gomez, Gabriela B
The Governance and Implementation of the National Action Plan on Antimicrobial Resistance in Tanzania: A Qualitative Study. (2021)
Frumence, Gasto; Mboera, Leonard EG; Sindato, Calvin; Katale, Bugwesa Z; Kimera, Sharadhuli; Metta, Emmy; Durrance-Bagale, Anna; Jung, Anne-Sophie; Mshana, Stephen E; Clark, Taane G; Rweyemamu, Mark; Legido-Quigley, Helena; Matee, Mecky IN
Protocol for a four parallel-arm, single-blind, cluster-randomised trial to assess the effectiveness of three types of dual active ingredient treated nets compared to pyrethroid-only long-lasting insecticidal nets to prevent malaria transmitted by pyrethroid insecticide-resistant vector mosquitoes in Tanzania. (2021)
Mosha, Jacklin F; Kulkarni, Manisha A; Messenger, Louisa A; Rowland, Mark; Matowo, Nancy; Pitt, Catherine; Lukole, Eliud; Taljaard, Monica; Thickstun, Charles; Manjurano, Alphaxard; Mosha, Franklin W; Kleinschmidt, Immo; Protopopoff, Natacha
Estimating force of infection from serologic surveys with imperfect tests. (2021)
Alexander, Neal; Carabali, Mabel; Lim, Jacqueline K
Differences in clinical severity of respiratory viral infections in hospitalized children. (2021)
Althouse, Benjamin M; Flasche, Stefan; Toizumi, Michiko; Nguyen, Hien-Anh Thi; Vo, Hien Minh; Le, Minh Nhat; Hashizume, Masahiro; Ariyoshi, Koya; Anh, Dang Duc; Rodgers, Gail L; Klugman, Keith P; Hu, Hao; Yoshida, Lay-Myint
Cost-effectiveness of district-wide seasonal malaria chemoprevention when implemented through routine malaria control programme in Kita, Mali using fixed point distribution. (2021)
Diawara, Halimatou; Walker, Patrick; Cairns, Matt; Steinhardt, Laura C; Diawara, Fatou; Kamate, Beh; Duval, Laeticia; Sicuri, Elisa; Sagara, Issaka; Sadou, Aboubacar; Mihigo, Jules; Eckert, Erin; Dicko, Alassane; Conteh, Lesong
Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. (2021)
Davies, Nicholas G; Abbott, Sam; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Kucharski, Adam J; Munday, James D; Pearson, Carl AB; Russell, Timothy W; Tully, Damien C; Washburne, Alex D; Wenseleers, Tom; Gimma, Amy; Waites, William; Wong, Kerry LM; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Silverman, Justin D; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Jit, Mark; Atkins, Katherine E; Edmunds, W John
Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of eliminating cervical cancer through a tailored optimal pathway: a modeling study. (2021)
Xia, Changfa; Xu, Xiaoqian; Zhao, Xuelian; Hu, Shangying; Qiao, Youlin; Zhang, Yong; Hutubessy, Raymond; Basu, Partha; Broutet, Nathalie; Jit, Mark; Zhao, Fanghui
From cervical cancer elimination to eradication of vaccine-type human papillomavirus: Feasibility, public health strategies and cost-effectiveness. (2021)
Jit, Mark; Prem, Kiesha; Benard, Elodie; Brisson, Marc
February 2021
Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of reactive, targeted indoor residual spraying for malaria control in low-transmission settings: a cluster-randomised, non-inferiority trial in South Africa. (2021)
Bath, David; Cook, Jackie; Govere, John; Mathebula, Phillemon; Morris, Natashia; Hlongwana, Khumbulani; Raman, Jaishree; Seocharan, Ishen; Zitha, Alpheus; Zitha, Matimba; Mabuza, Aaron; Mbokazi, Frans; Machaba, Elliot; Mabunda, Erik; Jamesboy, Eunice; Biggs, Joseph; Drakeley, Chris; Moonasar, Devanand; Maharaj, Rajendra; Coetzee, Maureen; Pitt, Catherine; Kleinschmidt, Immo
The epidemiologic impact and cost-effectiveness of new tuberculosis vaccines on multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in India and China. (2021)
Weerasuriya, Chathika K; Harris, Rebecca C; McQuaid, C Finn; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Ruan, Yunzhou; Li, Renzhong; Li, Tao; Rade, Kirankumar; Rao, Raghuram; Ginsberg, Ann M; Gomez, Gabriela B; White, Richard G
The impact of local and national restrictions in response to COVID-19 on social contacts in England: a longitudinal natural experiment. (2021)
Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Wong, Kerry LM; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Edmunds, W John
Global and national estimates of the number of healthcare workers at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. (2021)
McCarthy, CV; Sandmann, FG; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jit, M
Indirect acute effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on physical and mental health in the UK: a population-based study. (2021)
Mansfield, Kathryn E; Mathur, Rohini; Tazare, John; Henderson, Alasdair D; Mulick, Amy R; Carreira, Helena; Matthews, Anthony A; Bidulka, Patrick; Gayle, Alicia; Forbes, Harriet; Cook, Sarah; Wong, Angel YS; Strongman, Helen; Wing, Kevin; Warren-Gash, Charlotte; Cadogan, Sharon L; Smeeth, Liam; Hayes, Joseph F; Quint, Jennifer K; McKee, Martin; Langan, Sinéad M
Trust and transparency in times of crisis: Results from an online survey during the first wave (April 2020) of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK. (2021)
Enria, Luisa; Waterlow, Naomi; Rogers, Nina Trivedy; Brindle, Hannah; Lal, Sham; Eggo, Rosalind M; Lees, Shelley; Roberts, Chrissy H
Antimicrobial resistance and COVID-19: Intersections and implications. (2021)
Knight, Gwenan M; Glover, Rebecca E; McQuaid, C Finn; Olaru, Ioana D; Gallandat, Karin; Leclerc, Quentin J; Fuller, Naomi M; Willcocks, Sam J; Hasan, Rumina; van Kleef, Esther; Chandler, Clare Ir
Challenges in ensuring global access to COVID-19 vaccines: production, affordability, allocation, and deployment. (2021)
Wouters, Olivier J; Shadlen, Kenneth C; Salcher-Konrad, Maximilian; Pollard, Andrew J; Larson, Heidi J; Teerawattananon, Yot; Jit, Mark
Adaptation and performance of a mobile application for early detection of cutaneous leishmaniasis. (2021)
Rubiano, Luisa; Alexander, Neal DE; Castillo, Ruth Mabel; Martínez, Álvaro José; García Luna, Jonny Alejandro; Arango, Juan David; Vargas, Leonardo; Madriñán, Patricia; Hurtado, Lina-Rocío; Orobio, Yenifer; Rojas, Carlos A; Del Corral, Helena; Navarro, Andrés; Gore Saravia, Nancy; Aronoff-Spencer, Eliah
Surgical decision making in premenopausal BRCA carriers considering risk-reducing early salpingectomy or salpingo-oophorectomy: a qualitative study. (2021)
Gaba, Faiza; Goyal, Shivam; Marks, Dalya; Chandrasekaran, Dhivya; Evans, Olivia; Robbani, Sadiyah; Tyson, Charlotte; Legood, Rosa; Saridogan, Ertan; McCluggage, W Glenn; Hanson, Helen; Singh, Naveena; Evans, D Gareth; Menon, Usha; Manchanda, Ranjit; PROTECTOR team
Epidemiology of dengue fever in Gabon: Results from a health facility-based fever surveillance in Lambaréné and its surroundings. (2021)
Lim, Jacqueline Kyungah; Fernandes, José Francisco; Yoon, In-Kyu; Lee, Jung-Seok; Mba, Regis Obiang; Lee, Kang Sung; Namkung, Suk; Yang, Jae Seung; Bae, So Hee; Lim, Sl-Ki; Lell, Bertrand; Esen, Meral; Loembe, Marguerite Massinga; Kremsner, Peter G; Alexander, Neal; Agnandji, Selidji Todagbe
Who should be prioritized for COVID-19 vaccination in China? A descriptive study. (2021)
Yang, Juan; Zheng, Wen; Shi, Huilin; Yan, Xuemei; Dong, Kaige; You, Qian; Zhong, Guangjie; Gong, Hui; Chen, Zhiyuan; Jit, Mark; Viboud, Cecile; Ajelli, Marco; Yu, Hongjie
Infection patterns of endemic human coronaviruses in rural households in coastal Kenya. (2021)
Nyaguthii, Dickson Machira; Otieno, Grieven P; Kombe, Ivy K; Koech, Dorothy; Mutunga, Martin; Medley, Graham F; Nokes, D James; Munywoki, Patrick K
The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission across 130 countries and territories. (2021)
Liu, Yang; Morgenstern, Christian; Kelly, James; Lowe, Rachel; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Jit, Mark
Human, animal, water source interactions and leptospirosis in Thailand. (2021)
Narkkul, Udomsak; Thaipadungpanit, Janjira; Srisawat, Nattachai; Rudge, James W; Thongdee, Metawee; Pawarana, Rungrawee; Pan-Ngum, Wirichada
Continued HPV vaccination in the face of unexpected challenges: A commentary on the rationale for an extended interval two-dose schedule. (2021)
Whitworth, Hilary S; Schiller, John; Markowitz, Lauri E; Jit, Mark; Brisson, Marc; Simpson, Evan; Watson-Jones, Deborah
SCHISTOX: An individual based model for the epidemiology and control of schistosomiasis. (2021)
Graham, Matthew; Ayabina, Diepreye; Lucas, Tim Cd; Collyer, Benjamin S; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Deirdre; Toor, Jaspreet
Costs and outcomes of active and passive case detection for visceral leishmaniasis (Kala-Azar) to inform elimination strategies in Bihar, India. (2021)
Dial, Natalie J; Medley, Graham F; Croft, Simon L; Mahapatra, Tanmay; Priyamvada, Khushbu; Sinha, Bikas; Palmer, Lucy; Terris-Prestholt, Fern
The importance of supplementary immunisation activities to prevent measles outbreaks during the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya. (2021)
Mburu, CN; Ojal, J; Chebet, R; Akech, D; Karia, B; Tuju, J; Sigilai, A; Abbas, K; Jit, M; Funk, S; Smits, G; van Gageldonk, PGM; van der Klis, FRM; Tabu, C; Nokes, DJ; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Scott, Jag; Flasche, S; Adetifa, Imo
The importance of supplementary immunisation activities to prevent measles outbreaks during the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya. (2021)
Mburu, CN; Ojal, J; Chebet, R; Akech, D; Karia, B; Tuju, J; Sigilai, A; Abbas, K; Jit, M; Funk, S; Smits, G; van Gageldonk, PGM; van der Klis, FRM; Tabu, C; Nokes, DJ; Scott, JAG; Flasche, S; Adetifa, IMO
A snapshot of translation in Mycobacterium tuberculosis during exponential growth and nutrient starvation revealed by ribosome profiling. (2021)
Sawyer, Elizabeth B; Phelan, Jody E; Clark, Taane G; Cortes, Teresa
Seasonal malaria chemoprevention in the Sahel subregion of Africa: a cost-effectiveness and cost-savings analysis. (2021)
Gilmartin, Colin; Nonvignon, Justice; Cairns, Matthew; Milligan, Paul; Bocoum, Fadima; Winskill, Peter; Moroso, Diego; Collins, David
Estimating the contribution of key populations towards HIV transmission in South Africa. (2021)
Stone, Jack; Mukandavire, Christinah; Boily, Marie-Claude; Fraser, Hannah; Mishra, Sharmistha; Schwartz, Sheree; Rao, Amrita; Looker, Katharine J; Quaife, Matthew; Terris-Prestholt, Fern; Marr, Alexander; Lane, Tim; Coetzee, Jenny; Gray, Glenda; Otwombe, Kennedy; Milovanovic, Minja; Hausler, Harry; Young, Katherine; Mcingana, Mfezi; Ncedani, Manezi; Puren, Adrian; Hunt, Gillian; Kose, Zamakayise; Phaswana-Mafuya, Nancy; Baral, Stefan; Vickerman, Peter
January 2021
Estimating the health impact of vaccination against ten pathogens in 98 low-income and middle-income countries from 2000 to 2030: a modelling study. (2021)
Li, Xiang; Mukandavire, Christinah; Cucunubá, Zulma M; Echeverria Londono, Susy; Abbas, Kaja; Clapham, Hannah E; Jit, Mark; Johnson, Hope L; Papadopoulos, Timos; Vynnycky, Emilia; Brisson, Marc; Carter, Emily D; Clark, Andrew; de Villiers, Margaret J; Eilertson, Kirsten; Ferrari, Matthew J; Gamkrelidze, Ivane; Gaythorpe, Katy AM; Grassly, Nicholas C; Hallett, Timothy B; Hinsley, Wes; Jackson, Michael L; Jean, Kévin; Karachaliou, Andromachi; Klepac, Petra; Lessler, Justin; Li, Xi; Moore, Sean M; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Nguyen, Duy Manh; Razavi, Homie; Razavi-Shearer, Devin; Resch, Stephen; Sanderson, Colin; Sweet, Steven; Sy, Stephen; Tam, Yvonne; Tanvir, Hira; Tran, Quan Minh; Trotter, Caroline L; Truelove, Shaun; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Verguet, Stéphane; Walker, Neff; Winter, Amy; Woodruff, Kim; Ferguson, Neil M; Garske, Tini; Vaccine Impact Modelling Consortium
Transmission dynamics and control measures of COVID-19 outbreak in China: a modelling study. (2021)
Zhang, Xu-Sheng; Vynnycky, Emilia; Charlett, Andre; De Angelis, Daniela; Chen, Zhengji; Liu, Wei
Potential effect modification of RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine efficacy by household socio-economic status. (2021)
Gyaase, Stephaney; Asante, Kwaku Poku; Adeniji, Elisha; Boahen, Owusu; Cairns, Matthew; Owusu-Agyei, Seth
Repurposing the orphan drug nitisinone to control the transmission of African trypanosomiasis. (2021)
Sterkel, Marcos; Haines, Lee R; Casas-Sánchez, Aitor; Owino Adung'a, Vincent; Vionette-Amaral, Raquel J; Quek, Shannon; Rose, Clair; Silva Dos Santos, Mariana; García Escude, Natalia; Ismail, Hanafy M; Paine, Mark I; Barribeau, Seth M; Wagstaff, Simon; MacRae, James I; Masiga, Daniel; Yakob, Laith; Oliveira, Pedro L; Acosta-Serrano, Álvaro
Studying accelerated cardiovascular ageing in Russian adults through a novel deep-learning ECG biomarker. (2021)
Diez Benavente, Ernest; Jimenez-Lopez, Francisco; Attia, Zachi I; Malyutina, Sofia; Kudryavtsev, Alexander; Ryabikov, Andrew; Friedman, Paul A; Kapa, Suraj; Voevoda, Michael; Perel, Pablo; Schirmer, Henrik; Hughes, Alun D; Clark, Taane G; Leon, David A
Biomarker-guided tuberculosis preventive therapy (CORTIS): a randomised controlled trial. (2021)
Scriba, Thomas J; Fiore-Gartland, Andrew; Penn-Nicholson, Adam; Mulenga, Humphrey; Kimbung Mbandi, Stanley; Borate, Bhavesh; Mendelsohn, Simon C; Hadley, Katie; Hikuam, Chris; Kaskar, Masooda; Musvosvi, Munyaradzi; Bilek, Nicole; Self, Steven; Sumner, Tom; White, Richard G; Erasmus, Mzwandile; Jaxa, Lungisa; Raphela, Rodney; Innes, Craig; Brumskine, William; Hiemstra, Andriëtte; Malherbe, Stephanus T; Hassan-Moosa, Razia; Tameris, Michèle; Walzl, Gerhard; Naidoo, Kogieleum; Churchyard, Gavin; Hatherill, Mark; CORTIS-01 Study Team
Optimising Vaccine Dose in Inoculation against SARS-CoV-2, a Multi-Factor Optimisation Modelling Study to Maximise Vaccine Safety and Efficacy. (2021)
Benest, John; Rhodes, Sophie; Quaife, Matthew; Evans, Thomas G; White, Richard G
The antimalarial efficacy and mechanism of resistance of the novel chemotype DDD01034957. (2021)
Miguel-Blanco, Celia; Murithi, James M; Benavente, Ernest Diez; Angrisano, Fiona; Sala, Katarzyna A; van Schalkwyk, Donelly A; Vanaerschot, Manu; Schwach, Frank; Fuchter, Matthew J; Billker, Oliver; Sutherland, Colin J; Campino, Susana G; Clark, Taane G; Blagborough, Andrew M; Fidock, David A; Herreros, Esperanza; Gamo, Francisco Javier; Baum, Jake; Delves, Michael J
Use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and risk of death from COVID-19: an OpenSAFELY cohort analysis based on two cohorts. (2021)
Wong, Angel Ys; MacKenna, Brian; Morton, Caroline E; Schultze, Anna; Walker, Alex J; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Brown, Jeremy P; Rentsch, Christopher T; Williamson, Elizabeth; Drysdale, Henry; Croker, Richard; Bacon, Seb; Hulme, William; Bates, Chris; Curtis, Helen J; Mehrkar, Amir; Evans, David; Inglesby, Peter; Cockburn, Jonathan; McDonald, Helen I; Tomlinson, Laurie; Mathur, Rohini; Wing, Kevin; Forbes, Harriet; Eggo, Rosalind M; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Evans, Stephen Jw; Smeeth, Liam; Douglas, Ian J; Goldacre, Ben; OpenSAFELY Collaborative
Rational policymaking during a pandemic. (2021)
Berger, Loïc; Berger, Nicolas; Bosetti, Valentina; Gilboa, Itzhak; Hansen, Lars Peter; Jarvis, Christopher; Marinacci, Massimo; Smith, Richard D
Self-clearance of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection: implications for lifetime risk and population at-risk of tuberculosis disease. (2021)
Emery, Jon C; Richards, Alexandra S; Dale, Katie D; McQuaid, C Finn; White, Richard G; Denholm, Justin T; Houben, Rein MGJ
Implication of backward contact tracing in the presence of overdispersed transmission in COVID-19 outbreaks. (2021)
Endo, Akira; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Leclerc, Quentin J; Knight, Gwenan M; Medley, Graham F; Atkins, Katherine E; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J
o2geosocial: Reconstructing who-infected-whom from routinely collected surveillance data. (2021)
Robert, Alexis; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam J
Integrating epidemiological and genetic data with different sampling intensities into a dynamic model of respiratory syncytial virus transmission. (2021)
Kombe, Ivy K; Agoti, Charles N; Munywoki, Patrick K; Baguelin, Marc; Nokes, D James; Medley, Graham F
Clinical features and natural history of the first 2073 suspected COVID-19 cases in the Corona São Caetano primary care programme: a prospective cohort study. (2021)
Leal, Fabio E; Mendes-Correa, Maria C; Buss, Lewis Fletcher; Costa, Silvia F; Bizario, Joao CS; de Souza, Sonia RP; Thomaz, Osorio; Tozetto-Mendoza, Tania Regina; Villas-Boas, Lucy S; de Oliveira-da Silva, Léa Campos; Grespan, Regina MZ; Capuani, Ligia; Buccheri, Renata; Domingues, Helves; Alexander, Neal; Mayaud, Philippe; Sabino, Ester Cerdeira
Prevalence of Streptococcus pneumoniae in conjunctival flora and association with nasopharyngeal carriage among children in a Vietnamese community. (2021)
Mohamed, Yasser Helmy; Toizumi, Michiko; Uematsu, Masafumi; Nguyen, Hien-Anh Thi; Le, Lien Thuy; Takegata, Mizuki; Iwasaki, Chihiro; Kitamura, Noriko; Nation, Monica L; Dunne, Eileen M; Hinds, Jason; Do, Hung Thai; Vien, Mai Quang; Satzke, Catherine; Flasche, Stefan; Mulholland, Kim; Dang, Duc-Anh; Kitaoka, Takashi; Yoshida, Lay-Myint
An integrated in silico immuno-genetic analytical platform provides insights into COVID-19 serological and vaccine targets. (2021)
Ward, Daniel; Higgins, Matthew; Phelan, Jody E; Hibberd, Martin L; Campino, Susana; Clark, Taane G
COVID-19's lost generation of unvaccinated children - Authors' reply. (2021)
Abbas, Kaja; Procter, Simon R; Clark, Andrew; Flasche, Stefan
Biosocial Strategies to Address the Socioeconomic Determinants and Consequences of the TB and COVID-19 Pandemics. (2021)
Pedrazzoli, Debora; Wingfield, Tom
Temperature modulates immune gene expression in mosquitoes during arbovirus infection. (2021)
Wimalasiri-Yapa, BMC Randika; Barrero, Roberto A; Stassen, Liesel; Hafner, Louise M; McGraw, Elizabeth A; Pyke, Alyssa T; Jansen, Cassie C; Suhrbier, Andreas; Yakob, Laith; Hu, Wenbiao; Devine, Gregor J; Frentiu, Francesca D
Comparison of static and dynamic models of maternal immunization to prevent infant pertussis in Brazil. (2021)
Russell, Louise B; Kim, Sun-Young; Toscano, Cristiana; Cosgriff, Ben; Minamisava, Ruth; Lucia Andrade, Ana; Sanderson, Colin; Sinha, Anushua
Economic evaluation of the introduction of rotavirus vaccine in Hong Kong. (2021)
Yeung, Karene Hoi Ting; Lin, Shi Lin; Clark, Andrew; McGhee, Sarah M; Janusz, Cara Bess; Atherly, Deborah; Chan, Kate C; Nelson, E Anthony S
External validation of a deep learning electrocardiogram algorithm to detect ventricular dysfunction. (2021)
Attia, Itzhak Zachi; Tseng, Andrew S; Benavente, Ernest Diez; Medina-Inojosa, Jose R; Clark, Taane G; Malyutina, Sofia; Kapa, Suraj; Schirmer, Henrik; Kudryavtsev, Alexander V; Noseworthy, Peter A; Carter, Rickey E; Ryabikov, Andrew; Perel, Pablo; Friedman, Paul A; Leon, David A; Lopez-Jimenez, Francisco
HIV infection and COVID-19 death: a population-based cohort analysis of UK primary care data and linked national death registrations within the OpenSAFELY platform. (2021)
Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Rentsch, Christopher T; MacKenna, Brian; Schultze, Anna; Mehrkar, Amir; Bates, Chris J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Morton, Caroline E; Bacon, Sebastian CJ; Inglesby, Peter; Doughlas, Ian J; Walker, Alex J; McDonald, Helen; Cockburn, Jonathan; Williamson, Elizabeth J; Evans, David; Forbes, Harriet J; Curtis, Helen J; Hulme, William J; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Evans, Stephen JW; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben
Informing Global Cost-Effectiveness Thresholds Using Country Investment Decisions: Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Introductions in 2006-2018. (2021)
Jit, Mark
Estimating the Force of Infection for Dengue Virus Using Repeated Serosurveys, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. (2021)
Lim, Jacqueline K; Carabali, Mabel; Edwards, Tansy; Barro, Ahmed; Lee, Jung-Seok; Dahourou, Desire; Lee, Kang Sung; Nikiema, Teguewende; Shin, Mee Young; Bonnet, Emmanuel; Kagone, Therese; Kaba, Losseni; Namkung, Suk; Somé, Paul-André; Yang, Jae Seung; Ridde, Valéry; Yoon, In-Kyu; Alexander, Neal; Seydou, Yaro
Prospective association of social circumstance, socioeconomic, lifestyle and mental health factors with subsequent hospitalisation over 6-7 year follow up in people living with HIV. (2021)
Rein, Sophia M; Smith, Colette J; Chaloner, Clinton; Stafford, Adam; Rodger, Alison J; Johnson, Margaret A; McDonnell, Jeffrey; Burns, Fiona; Madge, Sara; Miners, Alec; Sherr, Lorraine; Collins, Simon; Speakman, Andrew; Phillips, Andrew N; Lampe, Fiona C
Effect of internationally imported cases on internal spread of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. (2021)
Russell, Timothy W; Wu, Joseph T; Clifford, Sam; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; Jit, Mark; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV
