Items where Research Centre is "Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases"

Research Centres (23573)

Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases (478) Month Authors/Creators Item Type Full Text

December 2020

Individual and community-level benefits of PrEP in western Kenya and South Africa: Implications for population prioritization of PrEP provision. (2020) Mudimu, Edinah; Peebles, Kathryn; Mukandavire, Zindoga; Nightingale, Emily; Sharma, Monisha; Medley, Graham F; Klein, Daniel J; Kripke, Katharine; Bershteyn, Anna

Modelling the effect of market forces on the impact of introducing human immunodeficiency virus pre-exposure prophylaxis among female sex workers. (2020) Quaife, Matthew; Terris-Prestholt, Fern; Mukandavire, Zindoga; Vickerman, Peter

Association of tiered restrictions and a second lockdown with COVID-19 deaths and hospital admissions in England: a modelling study. (2020) Davies, Nicholas G; Barnard, Rosanna C; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Semple, Malcolm G; Jit, Mark; Edmunds, W John; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1; ISARIC4C investigators

Robust detection of point mutations involved in multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis in the presence of co-occurrent resistance markers. (2020) Libiseller-Egger, Julian; Phelan, Jody; Campino, Susana; Mohareb, Fady; Clark, Taane G

Risk factors of HIV infection among female entertainment workers in Cambodia: Findings of a national survey. (2020) Tuot, Sovannary; Teo, Alvin Kuo Jing; Chhoun, Pheak; Mun, Phalkun; Prem, Kiesha; Yi, Siyan

Mapping the cryptic spread of the 2015-2016 global Zika virus epidemic. (2020) Sun, Haoyang; Dickens, Borame L; Jit, Mark; Cook, Alex R; Carrasco, L Roman

Detection of Cell-Fusing Agent virus across ecologically diverse populations of Aedes aegypti on the Caribbean island of Saint Lucia. (2020) Jeffries, Claire L; White, Mia; Wilson, Louisia; Yakob, Laith; Walker, Thomas

Zika virus infection in pregnancy: a protocol for the joint analysis of the prospective cohort studies of the ZIKAlliance, ZikaPLAN and ZIKAction consortia. (2020) Ades, AE; Brickley, Elizabeth B; Alexander, Neal; Brown, David; Jaenisch, Thomas; Miranda-Filho, Demócrito de Barros; Pohl, Moritz; Rosenberger, Kerstin D; Soriano-Arandes, Antoni; Thorne, Claire; Ximenes, Ricardo Arraes de Alencar; de Araújo, Thalia Velho Barreto; Avelino-Silva, Vivian I; Bethencourt Castillo, Sarah Esperanza; Borja Aburto, Victor Hugo; Brasil, Patrícia; Christie, Celia DC; de Souza, Wayner Vieira; Gotuzzo H, Jose Eduardo; Hoen, Bruno; Koopmans, Marion; Martelli, Celina Maria Turchi; Martins Teixeira, Mauro; Marques, Ernesto TA; Miranda, Maria Consuelo; Montarroyos, Ulisses Ramos; Moreira, Maria Elisabeth; Morris, J Glenn; Rockx, Barry; Saba Villarroel, Paola Mariela; Soria Segarra, Carmen; Tami, Adriana; Turchi, Marília Dalva; Giaquinto, Carlo; de Lamballerie, Xavier; Wilder-Smith, Annelies; EC Zika Consortia Vertical Transmission Study Group

Early detection of cholera epidemics to support control in fragile states: estimation of delays and potential epidemic sizes. (2020) Ratnayake, Ruwan; Finger, Flavio; Edmunds, W John; Checchi, Francesco

CoMix: comparing mixing patterns in the Belgian population during and after lockdown. (2020) Coletti, Pietro; Wambua, James; Gimma, Amy; Willem, Lander; Vercruysse, Sarah; Vanhoutte, Bieke; Jarvis, Christopher I; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Edmunds, John; Beutels, Philippe; Hens, Niel

Robust barcoding and identification of Mycobacterium tuberculosis lineages for epidemiological and clinical studies. (2020) Napier, Gary; Campino, Susana; Merid, Yared; Abebe, Markos; Woldeamanuel, Yimtubezinash; Aseffa, Abraham; Hibberd, Martin L; Phelan, Jody; Clark, Taane G

Genomic evidence supporting the clonal expansion of extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis bacteria belonging to a rare proto-Beijing genotype. (2020) Srilohasin, Prapaporn; Prammananan, Therdsak; Faksri, Kiatichai; Phelan, Jody E; Suriyaphol, Prapat; Kamolwat, Phalin; Smithtikarn, Saijai; Disratthakit, Areeya; Regmi, Sanjib Mani; Leechawengwongs, Manoon; Twee-Hee Ong, Rick; Teo, Yik Ying; Tongsima, Sissades; Clark, Taane G; Chaiprasert, Angkana

Genomic Epidemiology of Carbapenemase Producing Klebsiella pneumoniae Strains at a Northern Portuguese Hospital Enables the Detection of a Misidentified Klebsiella variicola KPC-3 Producing Strain. (2020) Perdigão, João; Caneiras, Cátia; Elias, Rita; Modesto, Ana; Spadar, Anton; Phelan, Jody; Campino, Susana; Clark, Taane G; Costa, Eliana; Saavedra, Maria José; Duarte, Aida

Urgent actions and policies needed to address COVID-19 among UK ethnic minorities. (2020) Mathur, Rohini; Bear, Laura; Khunti, Kamlesh; Eggo, Rosalind M

Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt. (2020) Gostic, Katelyn M; McGough, Lauren; Baskerville, Edward B; Abbott, Sam; Joshi, Keya; Tedijanto, Christine; Kahn, Rebecca; Niehus, Rene; Hay, James A; De Salazar, Pablo M; Hellewell, Joel; Meakin, Sophie; Munday, James D; Bosse, Nikos I; Sherrat, Katharine; Thompson, Robin N; White, Laura F; Huisman, Jana S; Scire, Jérémie; Bonhoeffer, Sebastian; Stadler, Tanja; Wallinga, Jacco; Funk, Sebastian; Lipsitch, Marc; Cobey, Sarah

Mathematical Modelling of Arbovirus Outbreak Dynamics in Fiji and the Wider Pacific. (2020) Henderson, AD

Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts. (2020) Abbott, Sam; Hellewell, Joel; Thompson, Robin N; Sherratt, Katharine; Gibbs, Hamish P; Bosse, Nikos I; Munday, James D; Meakin, Sophie; Doughty, Emma L; Chun, June Young; Chan, Yung-Wai Desmond; Finger, Flavio; Campbell, Paul; Endo, Akira; Pearson, Carl AB; Gimma, Amy; Russell, Tim; Flasche, Stefan; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian

Knowledge, attitudes and practices regarding antimicrobial use and resistance among communities of Ilala, Kilosa and Kibaha districts of Tanzania. (2020) Sindato, Calvin; Mboera, Leonard EG; Katale, Bugwesa Z; Frumence, Gasto; Kimera, Sharadhuli; Clark, Taane G; Legido-Quigley, Helena; Mshana, Stephen E; Rweyemamu, Mark M; Matee, Mecky

Vaccine strategies to reduce the burden of pneumococcal disease in HIV-infected adults in Africa. (2020) Thindwa, Deus; Pinsent, Amy; Ojal, John; Gallagher, Katherine E; French, Neil; Flasche, Stefan

Optimizing Benefits of Testing Key Workers for Infection with SARS-CoV-2: A Mathematical Modeling Analysis. (2020) Sandmann, Frank G; White, Peter J; Ramsay, Mary; Jit, Mark

Genetic diversity of the Plasmodium falciparum GTP-cyclohydrolase 1, dihydrofolate reductase and dihydropteroate synthetase genes reveals new insights into sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine antimalarial drug resistance. (2020) Turkiewicz, Anna; Manko, Emilia; Sutherland, Colin J; Diez Benavente, Ernest; Campino, Susana; Clark, Taane G

Considerations for planning COVID-19 treatment services in humanitarian responses. (2020) Garry, Sylvia; Abdelmagid, Nada; Baxter, Louisa; Roberts, Natalie; le Polain de Waroux, Olivier; Ismail, Sharif; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Favas, Caroline; Lewis, Elizabeth; Checchi, Francesco

November 2020

A serological framework to investigate acute primary and post-primary dengue cases reporting across the Philippines. (2020) Biggs, Joseph R; Sy, Ava Kristy; Brady, Oliver J; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Reyes, Mary Anne Joy; Quinones, Mary Ann; Jones-Warner, William; Tu, Yun-Hung; Avelino, Ferchito L; Sucaldito, Nemia L; Mai, Huynh Kim; Lien, Le Thuy; Do Thai, Hung; Nguyen, Hien Anh Thi; Anh, Dang Duc; Iwasaki, Chihiro; Kitamura, Noriko; Yoshida, Lay-Myint; Tandoc, Amado O; la Paz, Eva Cutiongco-de; Capeding, Maria Rosario Z; Padilla, Carmencita D; Hafalla, Julius Clemence R; Hibberd, Martin L

Catastrophic Health Impacts of Spiraling Climate Change: How Certain Can We Be About Their Magnitudes? (2020) Chalabi, Zaid; Foss, Anna M

Considerations for planning COVID-19 treatment services in humanitarian responses. (2020) Garry, Sylvia; Abdelmagid, Nada; Baxter, Louisa; Roberts, Natalie; le Polain de Waroux, Olivier; Ismail, Sharif; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Favas, Caroline; Lewis, Elizabeth; Checchi, Francesco

The predicted impact of tuberculosis preventive therapy: the importance of disease progression assumptions. (2020) Sumner, Tom; White, Richard G

Isolation thresholds for curbing SARS-CoV-2 resurgence. (2020) Yakob, Laith

Mass Drug Administration With High-Dose Ivermectin and Dihydroartemisinin-Piperaquine for Malaria Elimination in an Area of Low Transmission With High Coverage of Malaria Control Interventions: Protocol for the MASSIV Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial. (2020) Dabira, Edgard Diniba; Soumare, Harouna M; Lindsay, Steven W; Conteh, Bakary; Ceesay, Fatima; Bradley, John; Kositz, Christian; Broekhuizen, Henk; Kandeh, Balla; Fehr, Alexandra E; Nieto-Sanchez, Claudia; Ribera, Joan Muela; Peeters Grietens, Koen; Smit, Menno Roderick; Drakeley, Chris; Bousema, Teun; Achan, Jane; D'Alessandro, Umberto

Integrating economic and health evidence to inform Covid-19 policy in low- and middle- income countries. (2020) Vassall, Anna; Sweeney, Sedona; Barasa, Edwine; Prinja, Shankar; Keogh-Brown, Marcus R; Tarp Jensen, Henning; Smith, Richard; Baltussen, Rob; M Eggo, Rosalind; Jit, Mark

Evaluating the next generation of RSV intervention strategies: a mathematical modelling study and cost-effectiveness analysis. (2020) Hodgson, David; Pebody, Richard; Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Baguelin, Marc; Atkins, Katherine E

Time to Scale Up Preexposure Prophylaxis Beyond the Highest-Risk Populations? Modeling Insights From High-Risk Women in Sub-Saharan Africa. (2020) Grant, Hannah; Gomez, Gabriela B; Kripke, Katharine; Barnabas, Ruanne V; Watts, Charlotte; Medley, Graham F; Mukandavire, Zindoga

Corrigendum to "Cost-effectiveness of introducing a domestic pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7-TT) into the Cuban national immunization programme" [Int. J. Infect. Dis. 97 (2020) 182-189]. (2020) Fariñas, Anai García; Linares-Pérez, Nivaldo; Clark, Andrew; Toledo-Romaní, María Eugenia; Omeiri, Nathalie El; Araújo, Martha C Marrero; Luis, Isabel Pilar Gonzálvez; Peraza, Gilda Toraño; Jiménez, Alicia Reyes; Ambrón, Lena López; Cuban Pneumococcal Vaccine Working Group

Assessment of missed opportunities for vaccination (MOV) in Burkina Faso using the World Health Organization's revised MOV strategy: Findings and strategic considerations to improve routine childhood immunization coverage. (2020) Kaboré, Lassané; Meda, Bertrand; Médah, Isaie; Shendale, Stephanie; Nic Lochlainn, Laura; Sanderson, Colin; Ouattara, Mâ; Kaboré, William MF; Betsem, Edouard; Ogbuanu, Ikechukwu U

Transmission dynamics, serial interval and epidemiology of COVID-19 diseases in Hong Kong under different control measures. (2020) Chan, Yung-Wai Desmond; Flasche, Stefan; Lam, Tin-Long Terence; Leung, Mei-Hung Joanna; Wong, Miu-Ling; Lam, Ho-Yeung; Chuang, Shuk-Kwan

Prevalence and social determinants of psychological distress among people who use drugs in Cambodia. (2020) Saing, Chan Hang; Prem, Kiesha; Uk, Ponha; Chann, Navy; Chhoun, Pheak; Mun, Phalkun; Tuot, Sovannary; Yi, Siyan

The practice of evaluating epidemic response in humanitarian and low-income settings: a systematic review. (2020) Warsame, Abdihamid; Murray, Jillian; Gimma, Amy; Checchi, Francesco

October 2020

New tuberculosis vaccines: advances in clinical development and modelling. (2020) Weerasuriya, CK; Clark, RA; White, RG; Harris, RC

Glycan–glycan interactions determine <i>Leishmania</i> attachment to the midgut of permissive sand fly vectors. (2020) Hall, Amy R; Blakeman, Jamie T; Eissa, Ahmed M; Chapman, Paul; Morales-García, Ana L; Stennett, Laura; Martin, Oihane; Giraud, Emilie; Dockrell, David H; Cameron, Neil R; Wiese, Martin; Yakob, Laith; Rogers, Matthew E; Geoghegan, Mark

Towards a unified generic framework to define and observe contacts between livestock and wildlife: a systematic review. (2020) Bacigalupo, Sonny A; Dixon, Linda K; Gubbins, Simon; Kucharski, Adam J; Drewe, Julian A

Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections. (2020) Russell, Timothy W; Golding, Nick; Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Wright, Lawrence; Pearson, Carl AB; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J; CMMID COVID-19 working group

Highly targeted spatiotemporal interventions against cholera epidemics, 2000-19: a scoping review. (2020) Ratnayake, Ruwan; Finger, Flavio; Azman, Andrew S; Lantagne, Daniele; Funk, Sebastian; Edmunds, W John; Checchi, Francesco

Parents' and guardians' views on the acceptability of a future COVID-19 vaccine: A multi-methods study in England. (2020) Bell, Sadie; Clarke, Richard; Mounier-Jack, Sandra; Walker, Jemma L; Paterson, Pauline

Study protocol: Comparison of different risk prediction modelling approaches for COVID-19 related death using the OpenSAFELY platform. (2020) Williamson, Elizabeth J; Tazare, John; Bhaskaran, Krishnan; Walker, Alex J; McDonald, Helen I; Tomlinson, Laurie; Bacon, Sebastian; Bates, Chris; Curtis, Helen J; Forbes, Harriet; Minassian, Caroline; Morton, Caroline E; Nightingale, Emily; Mehrkar, Amir; Evans, Dave; Nicholson, Brian D; Leon, David; Inglesby, Peter; MacKenna, Brian; Cockburn, Jonathan; Davies, Nicholas G; Hulme, William; Morley, Jessica; Douglas, Ian J; Rentsch, Christopher T; Mathur, Rohini; Wong, Angel; Schultze, Anna; Croker, Richard; Parry, John; Hester, Frank; Harper, Sam; Perera, Rafael; Grieve, Richard; Harrison, David; Steyerberg, Ewout; Eggo, Rosalind M; Diaz-Ordaz, Karla; Keogh, Ruth; Evans, Stephen JW; Smeeth, Liam; Goldacre, Ben

The impact of Covid-19, associated behaviours and policies on the UK economy: A computable general equilibrium model. (2020) Keogh-Brown, Marcus R; Jensen, Henning Tarp; Edmunds, W John; Smith, Richard D

Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study. (2020) van Zandvoort, Kevin; Jarvis, Christopher I; Pearson, Carl AB; Davies, Nicholas G; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Checchi, Francesco

Lessons from New Zealand's COVID-19 outbreak response. (2020) Robert, Alexis

Understanding the importance of non-material factors in retaining community health workers in low-income settings: a qualitative case-study in Ethiopia. (2020) Arora, Nikita; Hanson, Kara; Spicer, Neil; Estifanos, Abiy Seifu; Keraga, Dorka Woldesenbet; Welearegay, Alemtsehay Tewele; Tela, Freweini Gebrearegay; Hussen, Yemisrach Ahmed; Mandefro, Yordanos Semu; Quaife, Matthew

Potential impact of tuberculosis vaccines in China, South Africa, and India. (2020) Harris, Rebecca C; Sumner, Tom; Knight, Gwenan M; Zhang, Hui; White, Richard G

Changing travel patterns in China during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. (2020) Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; Pearson, Carl AB; Jarvis, Christopher I; Grundy, Chris; Quilty, Billy J; Diamond, Charlie; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 working group; Eggo, Rosalind M

The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements. (2020) Quaife, Matthew; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Gimma, Amy; Shah, Kashvi; McCreesh, Nicky; Prem, Kiesha; Barasa, Edwine; Mwanga, Daniel; Kangwana, Beth; Pinchoff, Jessie; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Edmunds, W John; Jarvis, Christopher I; Austrian, Karen

The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements. (2020) Quaife, Matthew; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Gimma, Amy; Shah, Kashvi; McCreesh, Nicky; Prem, Kiesha; Barasa, Edwine; Mwanga, Daniel; Kangwana, Beth; Pinchoff, Jessie; Edmunds, W John; Jarvis, Christopher I; Austrian, Karen

Delivering a primary-level non-communicable disease programme for Syrian refugees and the host population in Jordan: a descriptive costing study. (2020) Ansbro, Éimhín; Garry, Sylvia; Karir, Veena; Reddy, Amulya; Jobanputra, Kiran; Fardous, Taissir; Sadique, Zia

Complex relationships between Aedes vectors, socio-economics and dengue transmission-Lessons learned from a case-control study in northeastern Thailand. (2020) Fustec, Benedicte; Phanitchat, Thipruethai; Hoq, Mohammad Injamul; Aromseree, Sirinart; Pientong, Chamsai; Thaewnongiew, Kesorn; Ekalaksananan, Tipaya; Bangs, Michael J; Corbel, Vincent; Alexander, Neal; Overgaard, Hans J

The COVID-19 response illustrates that traditional academic reward structures and metrics do not reflect crucial contributions to modern science. (2020) Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M

Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study. (2020) Kucharski, Adam J; Klepac, Petra; Conlan, Andrew JK; Kissler, Stephen M; Tang, Maria L; Fry, Hannah; Gog, Julia R; Edmunds, W John; CMMID COVID-19 working group

Costs of Early Invasive Breast Cancer in England Using National Patient-Level Data. (2020) Sun, Li; Cromwell, David; Dodwell, David; Horgan, Kieran; Gannon, Melissa Ruth; Medina, Jibby; Pennington, Mark; Legood, Rosa; Dos-Santos-Silva, Isabel; Sadique, Zia

Assessing the value of human papillomavirus vaccination in Gavi-eligible low-income and middle-income countries. (2020) Ochalek, Jessica; Abbas, Kaja; Claxton, Karl; Jit, Mark; Lomas, James

September 2020

A comparative analysis of cervical cancer prevention between Nigeria and Nordic countries that have experienced a decline in cervical cancer incidence. (2020) Anyasi, Helen I; Foss, Anna M

Using data from 'visible' populations to estimate the size and importance of 'hidden' populations in an epidemic: A modelling technique. (2020) Foss, Anna M; Prudden, Holly J; Mitchell, Kate M; Pickles, Michael; Washington, Reynold; Phillips, Anna E; Alary, Michel; Boily, Marie-Claude; Moses, Stephen; Watts, Charlotte H; Vickerman, Peter T

Behavioral Change Towards Reduced Intensity Physical Activity Is Disproportionately Prevalent Among Adults With Serious Health Issues or Self-Perception of High Risk During the UK COVID-19 Lockdown. (2020) Rogers, Nina Trivedy; Waterlow, Naomi R; Brindle, Hannah; Enria, Luisa; Eggo, Rosalind M; Lees, Shelley; Roberts, Chrissy H

Behavioural change towards reduced intensity physical activity is disproportionately prevalent among adults with serious health issues or self-perception of high risk during the UK COVID-19 lockdown. (2020) Rogers, Nina Trivedy; Waterlow, Naomi; Brindle, Hannah; Enria, Luisa; Eggo, Rosalind M; Lees, Shelley; Roberts, Chrissy H

Estimation of Rift Valley fever virus spillover to humans during the Mayotte 2018-2019 epidemic. (2020) Métras, Raphaëlle; Edmunds, W John; Youssouffi, Chouanibou; Dommergues, Laure; Fournié, Guillaume; Camacho, Anton; Funk, Sebastian; Cardinale, Eric; Le Godais, Gilles; Combo, Soihibou; Filleul, Laurent; Youssouf, Hassani; Subiros, Marion

HIV prevention is not all about HIV - using a discrete choice experiment among women to model how the uptake and effectiveness of HIV prevention products may also rely on pregnancy and STI protection. (2020) Vickerman, Peter; Quaife, Matthew; Kilbourne-Brook, Maggie; Mvundura, Mercy; Eakle, Robyn; Terris-Prestholt, Fern

Susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Children and Adolescents Compared With Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. (2020) Viner, Russell M; Mytton, Oliver T; Bonell, Chris; Melendez-Torres, GJ; Ward, Joseph; Hudson, Lee; Waddington, Claire; Thomas, James; Russell, Simon; van der Klis, Fiona; Koirala, Archana; Ladhani, Shamez; Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina; Davies, Nicholas G; Booy, Robert; Eggo, Rosalind M

Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis. (2020) Chapman, Lloyd AC; Spencer, Simon EF; Pollington, Timothy M; Jewell, Chris P; Mondal, Dinesh; Alvar, Jorge; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre; Cameron, Mary M; Bern, Caryn; Medley, Graham F

Patterns of COVID-19 testing and mortality by race and ethnicity among United States veterans: A nationwide cohort study. (2020) Rentsch, Christopher T; Kidwai-Khan, Farah; Tate, Janet P; Park, Lesley S; King, Joseph T; Skanderson, Melissa; Hauser, Ronald G; Schultze, Anna; Jarvis, Christopher I; Holodniy, Mark; Lo Re, Vincent; Akgün, Kathleen M; Crothers, Kristina; Taddei, Tamar H; Freiberg, Matthew S; Justice, Amy C

Surveillance of Aedes aegypti populations in the city of Praia, Cape Verde: Zika virus infection, insecticide resistance and genetic diversity. (2020) Campos, Monica; Ward, Daniel; Morales, Raika Francesca; Gomes, Ana Rita; Silva, Keily; Sepúlveda, Nuno; Gomez, Lara Ferrero; Clark, Taane G; Campino, Susana

Mitigating costs for people living with TB: from measurement to action. (2020) Carter, DJ; Pedrazzoli, D

Will More of the Same Achieve Malaria Elimination? Results from an Integrated Macroeconomic Epidemiological Demographic Model. (2020) Smith, Richard D; Keogh-Brown, Marcus R; Chico, R Matthew; Bretscher, Michael T; Drakeley, Chris; Jensen, Henning Tarp

Informing Balanced Investment in Services and Health Systems: A Case Study of Priority Setting for Tuberculosis Interventions in South Africa. (2020) Bozzani, Fiammetta M; Sumner, Tom; Mudzengi, Don; Gomez, Gabriela B; White, Richard; Vassall, Anna

Comparative functional survival and equivalent annual cost of 3 long-lasting insecticidal net (LLIN) products in Tanzania: A randomised trial with 3-year follow up. (2020) Lorenz, Lena M; Bradley, John; Yukich, Joshua; Massue, Dennis J; Mageni Mboma, Zawadi; Pigeon, Olivier; Moore, Jason; Kilian, Albert; Lines, Jo; Kisinza, William; Overgaard, Hans J; Moore, Sarah J

Poor self-reported adherence to COVID-19-related quarantine/isolation requests, Norway, April to July 2020. (2020) Steens, Anneke; Freiesleben de Blasio, Birgitte; Veneti, Lamprini; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Jarvis, Christopher I; Forland, Frode; Robberstad, Bjarne

Subclinical Tuberculosis Disease-A Review and Analysis of Prevalence Surveys to Inform Definitions, Burden, Associations, and Screening Methodology. (2020) Frascella, Beatrice; Richards, Alexandra S; Sossen, Bianca; Emery, Jon C; Odone, Anna; Law, Irwin; Onozaki, Ikushi; Esmail, Hanif; Houben, Rein MGJ

Autochthonous leprosy in Spain: Has the transmission of Mycobacterium leprae stopped? (2020) Suárez-García, Inés; Gómez-Barroso, Diana; Fine, Paul EM

Seasonal malaria vaccination: protocol of a phase 3 trial of seasonal vaccination with the RTS,S/AS01E vaccine, seasonal malaria chemoprevention and the combination of vaccination and chemoprevention. (2020) Chandramohan, Daniel; Dicko, Alassane; Zongo, Issaka; Sagara, Issaka; Cairns, Matthew; Kuepfer, Irene; Diarra, Modibo; Tapily, Amadou; Issiaka, Djibrilla; Sanogo, Koualy; Mahamar, Almahamoudou; Sompougdou, Frederic; Yerbanga, Serge; Thera, Ismaila; Milligan, Paul; Tinto, Halidou; Ofori-Anyinam, Opokua; Ouedraogo, Jean-Bosco; Greenwood, B

A review of the costs of delivering maternal immunisation during pregnancy. (2020) Procter, Simon R; Salman, Omar; Pecenka, Clint; Gonçalves, Bronner P; Paul, Proma; Hutubessy, Raymond; Lambach, Philipp; Lawn, Joy E; Jit, Mark

The effectiveness of social bubbles as part of a Covid-19 lockdown exit strategy, a modelling study. (2020) Leng, Trystan; White, Connor; Hilton, Joe; Kucharski, Adam; Pellis, Lorenzo; Stage, Helena; Davies, Nicholas G; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease 2019 nCo; Keeling, Matt J; Flasche, Stefan

Bias correction methods for test-negative designs in the presence of misclassification. (2020) Endo, A; Funk, S; Kucharski, AJ

Cost-Utility Analysis of a Complex Intervention to Reduce School-Based Bullying and Aggression: An Analysis of the Inclusive RCT. (2020) Legood, Rosa; Opondo, Charles; Warren, Emily; Jamal, Farah; Bonell, Chris; Viner, Russell; Sadique, Zia

Clinical and epidemiologic characteristics associated with dengue fever in Mombasa, Kenya. (2020) Lim, Jacqueline Kyungah; Matendechero, Sultani Hadley; Alexander, Neal; Lee, Jung-Seok; Lee, Kang Sung; Namkung, Suk; Andia, Esther; Oyembo, Noah; Lim, Sl-Ki; Kanyi, Henry; Bae, So Hee; Yang, Jae Seung; Ochola, Mary A; Edwards, Tansy; Yoon, In-Kyu; Njenga, Sammy M

Spatial spillover analysis of a cluster-randomized trial against dengue vectors in Trujillo, Venezuela. (2020) Alexander, Neal; Lenhart, Audrey; Anaya-Izquierdo, Karim

Cost-effectiveness analysis of tranexamic acid for the treatment of traumatic brain injury, based on the results of the CRASH-3 randomised trial: a decision modelling approach. (2020) Williams, Jack; Roberts, Ian; Shakur-Still, Haleema; Lecky, Fiona E; Chaudhri, Rizwana; Miners, Alec

August 2020

Ongoing challenges to understanding multidrug- and rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis in children versus adults. (2020) McQuaid, C Finn; Cohen, Ted; Dean, Anna S; Houben, Rein MGJ; Knight, Gwenan M; Zignol, Matteo; White, Richard G

The contribution of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections to transmission on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. (2020) Emery, Jon C; Russell, Timothy W; Liu, Yang; Hellewell, Joel; Pearson, Carl Ab; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Knight, Gwenan M; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Flasche, Stefan; Houben, Rein Mgj

Evaluation of seasonal malaria chemoprevention in two areas of intense seasonal malaria transmission: Secondary analysis of a household-randomised, placebo-controlled trial in Houndé District, Burkina Faso and Bougouni District, Mali. (2020) Cairns, Matthew E; Sagara, Issaka; Zongo, Issaka; Kuepfer, Irene; Thera, Ismaila; Nikiema, Frederic; Diarra, Modibo; Yerbanga, Serge R; Barry, Amadou; Tapily, Amadou; Coumare, Samba; Milligan, Paul; Tinto, Halidou; Ouédraogo, Jean Bosco; Chandramohan, Daniel; Greenwood, Brian; Djimde, Abdoulaye; Dicko, Alassane

An imperfect tool: contact tracing could provide valuable reductions in COVID-19 transmission if good adherence can be achieved and maintained. (2020) Davis, Emma L; Lucas, Tim CD; Borlase, Anna; Pollington, Timothy M; Abbott, Sam; Ayabina, Diepreye; Crellen, Thomas; Hellewell, Joel; Pi, Li; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre; Klepac, Petra

Seasonal influenza vaccination in Kenya: an economic evaluation using dynamic transmission modelling. (2020) Dawa, Jeanette; Emukule, Gideon O; Barasa, Edwine; Widdowson, Marc Alain; Anzala, Omu; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Baguelin, Marc; Chaves, Sandra S; Eggo, Rosalind M

Assessment of missed opportunities for vaccination in Kenyan health facilities, 2016. (2020) Li, Anyie J; Tabu, Collins; Shendale, Stephanie; Sergon, Kibet; Okoth, Peter O; Mugoya, Isaac K; Machekanyanga, Zorodzai; Onuekwusi, Iheoma U; Sanderson, Colin; Ogbuanu, Ikechukwu Udo

The effect of travel restrictions on the geographical spread of COVID-19 between large cities in China: a modelling study. (2020) Quilty, Billy J; Diamond, Charlie; Liu, Yang; Gibbs, Hamish; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Prem, Kiesha; Pearson, Carl AB; Clifford, Samuel; Flasche, Stefan; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Klepac, Petra; Eggo, Rosalind M; Jit, Mark

Attitudes towards risk-reducing early salpingectomy with delayed oophorectomy for ovarian cancer prevention: a cohort study. (2020) Gaba, F; Blyuss, O; Chandrasekaran, D; Osman, M; Goyal, S; Gan, C; Izatt, L; Tripathi, V; Esteban, I; McNicol, L; Ragupathy, K; Crawford, R; Evans, DG; Legood, R; Menon, U; Manchanda, R

Could bio-detection dogs be used to limit the spread of COVID-19 by travellers? (2020) Jones, Robert T; Guest, Claire; Lindsay, Steve W; Kleinschmidt, Immo; Bradley, John; Dewhirst, Sarah; Last, Anna; Logan, James G

Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. (2020) Thompson, Robin N; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre; Isham, Valerie; Arribas-Bel, Daniel; Ashby, Ben; Britton, Tom; Challenor, Peter; Chappell, Lauren HK; Clapham, Hannah; Cunniffe, Nik J; Dawid, A Philip; Donnelly, Christl A; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Gilbert, Nigel; Glendinning, Paul; Gog, Julia R; Hart, William S; Heesterbeek, Hans; House, Thomas; Keeling, Matt; Kiss, István Z; Kretzschmar, Mirjam E; Lloyd, Alun L; McBryde, Emma S; McCaw, James M; McKinley, Trevelyan J; Miller, Joel C; Morris, Martina; O'Neill, Philip D; Parag, Kris V; Pearson, Carl AB; Pellis, Lorenzo; Pulliam, Juliet RC; Ross, Joshua V; Tomba, Gianpaolo Scalia; Silverman, Bernard W; Struchiner, Claudio J; Tildesley, Michael J; Trapman, Pieter; Webb, Cerian R; Mollison, Denis; Restif, Olivier

How Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (ME/CFS) Progresses: The Natural History of ME/CFS. (2020) Nacul, Luis; O'Boyle, Shennae; Palla, Luigi; Nacul, Flavio E; Mudie, Kathleen; Kingdon, Caroline C; Cliff, Jacqueline M; Clark, Taane G; Dockrell, Hazel M; Lacerda, Eliana M

Using a real-world network to model localized COVID-19 control strategies. (2020) Firth, Josh A; Hellewell, Joel; Klepac, Petra; Kissler, Stephen; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Kucharski, Adam J; Spurgin, Lewis G

The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa. (2020) Sherrard-Smith, Ellie; Hogan, Alexandra B; Hamlet, Arran; Watson, Oliver J; Whittaker, Charlie; Winskill, Peter; Ali, Fatima; Mohammad, Audu B; Uhomoibhi, Perpetua; Maikore, Ibrahim; Ogbulafor, Nnenna; Nikau, Jamilu; Kont, Mara D; Challenger, Joseph D; Verity, Robert; Lambert, Ben; Cairns, Matthew; Rao, Bhargavi; Baguelin, Marc; Whittles, Lilith K; Lees, John A; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Knock, Edward S; Okell, Lucy; Slater, Hannah C; Ghani, Azra C; Walker, Patrick GT; Okoko, Okefu Oyale; Churcher, Thomas S

Genetic diversity and risk factors for the transmission of antimicrobial resistance across human, animals and environmental compartments in East Africa: a review. (2020) Katale, Bugwesa Z; Misinzo, Gerald; Mshana, Stephen E; Chiyangi, Harriet; Campino, Susana; Clark, Taane G; Good, Liam; Rweyemamu, Mark M; Matee, Mecky I

FIRST-line support for assistance in breathing in children (FIRST-ABC): a master protocol of two randomised trials to evaluate the non-inferiority of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) versus continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) for non-invasive respiratory support in paediatric critical care. (2020) Richards-Belle, Alvin; Davis, Peter; Drikite, Laura; Feltbower, Richard; Grieve, Richard; Harrison, David A; Lester, Julie; Morris, Kevin P; Mouncey, Paul R; Peters, Mark J; Rowan, Kathryn M; Sadique, Zia; Tume, Lyvonne N; Ramnarayan, Padmanabhan

Acquisition of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (ESBL-PE) carriage after exposure to systemic antimicrobials during travel: Systematic review and meta-analysis. (2020) Wuerz, Terence C; Kassim, Sameer S; Atkins, Katherine E

Cost-effectiveness evidence for HPV self-sampling could be improved by giving greater attention to vulnerable populations. (2020) Humphreys, Emily; Foss, Anna; Legood, Rosa

No antimicrobial resistance research agenda without tuberculosis. (2020) Knight, Gwenan M; Raviglione, Mario C; White, Richard G

Prevalence and distribution of schistosomiasis in human, livestock, and snail populations in northern Senegal: a One Health epidemiological study of a multi-host system. (2020) Léger, Elsa; Borlase, Anna; Fall, Cheikh B; Diouf, Nicolas D; Diop, Samba D; Yasenev, Lucy; Catalano, Stefano; Thiam, Cheikh T; Ndiaye, Alassane; Emery, Aidan; Morrell, Alice; Rabone, Muriel; Ndao, Momar; Faye, Babacar; Rollinson, David; Rudge, James W; Sène, Mariama; Webster, Joanne P

An Economic Evaluation of the Cost-Effectiveness of Opt-Out Hepatitis B and Hepatitis C Testing in an Emergency Department Setting in the United Kingdom. (2020) Williams, Jack; Vickerman, Peter; Douthwaite, Sam; Nebbia, Gaia; Hunter, Laura; Wong, Terry; Ruf, Murad; Miners, Alec

Cost-effectiveness of introducing a domestic pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7-TT) into the Cuban national immunization programme. (2020) García Fariñas, Anai; Linares-Pérez, Nivaldo; Clark, Andrew; Toledo-Romaní, María Eugenia; Omeiri, Nathalie El; Marrero Araújo, Martha C; Gonzálvez Luis, Isabel Pilar; Toraño Peraza, Gilda; Reyes Jiménez, Alicia; López Ambrón, Lena; Cuban Pneumococcal Vaccine Working Group

July 2020

COVID-19 control in low-income settings and displaced populations: what can realistically be done? (2020) Dahab, Maysoon; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Flasche, Stefan; Warsame, Abdihamid; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Favas, Caroline; Spiegel, Paul B; Waldman, Ronald J; Checchi, Francesco

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil. (2020) de Souza, William Marciel; Buss, Lewis Fletcher; Candido, Darlan da Silva; Carrera, Jean-Paul; Li, Sabrina; Zarebski, Alexander E; Pereira, Rafael Henrique Moraes; Prete, Carlos A; de Souza-Santos, Andreza Aruska; Parag, Kris V; Belotti, Maria Carolina TD; Vincenti-Gonzalez, Maria F; Messina, Janey; da Silva Sales, Flavia Cristina; Andrade, Pamela Dos Santos; Nascimento, Vítor Heloiz; Ghilardi, Fabio; Abade, Leandro; Gutierrez, Bernardo; Kraemer, Moritz UG; Braga, Carlos KV; Aguiar, Renato Santana; Alexander, Neal; Mayaud, Philippe; Brady, Oliver J; Marcilio, Izabel; Gouveia, Nelson; Li, Guangdi; Tami, Adriana; de Oliveira, Silvano Barbosa; Porto, Victor Bertollo Gomes; Ganem, Fabiana; de Almeida, Walquiria Aparecida Ferreira; Fantinato, Francieli Fontana Sutile Tardetti; Macário, Eduardo Marques; de Oliveira, Wanderson Kleber; Nogueira, Mauricio L; Pybus, Oliver G; Wu, Chieh-Hsi; Croda, Julio; Sabino, Ester C; Faria, Nuno Rodrigues

Estimation of Seasonal Influenza Attack Rates and Antibody Dynamics in Children Using Cross-Sectional Serological Data. (2020) Minter, Amanda; Hoschler, Katja; Jagne, Ya Jankey; Sallah, Hadijatou; Armitage, Edwin; Lindsey, Benjamin; Hay, James A; Riley, Steven; de Silva, Thushan I; Kucharski, Adam J

Modelling the incremental benefit of introducing malaria screening strategies to antenatal care in Africa. (2020) Walker, Patrick GT; Cairns, Matt; Slater, Hannah; Gutman, Julie; Kayentao, Kassoum; Williams, John E; Coulibaly, Sheick O; Khairallah, Carole; Taylor, Steve; Meshnick, Steven R; Hill, Jenny; Mwapasa, Victor; Kalilani-Phiri, Linda; Bojang, Kalifa; Kariuki, Simon; Tagbor, Harry; Griffin, Jamie T; Madanitsa, Mwayi; Ghani, Azra CH; Desai, Meghna; Ter Kuile, Feiko O

The challenges of informative wastewater sampling for SARS-CoV-2 must be met: lessons from polio eradication. (2020) O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Allen, David J; Fine, Paul; Asghar, Humayun

Use of seasonal influenza and pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccines in older adults to reduce COVID-19 mortality. (2020) Thindwa, Deus; Garcia Quesada, Maria; Liu, Yang; Bennett, Julia; Cohen, Cheryl; Knoll, Maria Deloria; von Gottberg, Anne; Hayford, Kyla; Flasche, Stefan

Routine childhood immunisation during the COVID-19 pandemic in Africa: a benefit-risk analysis of health benefits versus excess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. (2020) Abbas, Kaja; Procter, Simon R; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Clark, Andrew; Funk, Sebastian; Mengistu, Tewodaj; Hogan, Dan; Dansereau, Emily; Jit, Mark; Flasche, Stefan; LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 Working Group

The impact of maternal RSV vaccine to protect infants in Gavi-supported countries: Estimates from two models. (2020) Baral, Ranju; Li, Xiao; Willem, Lander; Antillon, Marina; Vilajeliu, Alba; Jit, Mark; Beutels, Philippe; Pecenka, Clint

Human monkeypox - After 40 years, an unintended consequence of smallpox eradication. (2020) Simpson, Karl; Heymann, David; Brown, Colin S; Edmunds, W John; Elsgaard, Jesper; Fine, Paul; Hochrein, Hubertus; Hoff, Nicole A; Green, Andrew; Ihekweazu, Chikwe; Jones, Terry C; Lule, Swaib; Maclennan, Jane; McCollum, Andrea; Mühlemann, Barbara; Nightingale, Emily; Ogoina, Dimie; Ogunleye, Adesola; Petersen, Brett; Powell, Jacqueline; Quantick, Ollie; Rimoin, Anne W; Ulaeato, David; Wapling, Andy

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Assessing Survival in Patients With COVID-19 Pneumonia. (2020) Dong, Yi-Min; Sun, Jia; Li, Yi-Xin; Chen, Qian; Liu, Qing-Quan; Sun, Zhou; Pang, Ran; Chen, Fei; Xu, Bing-Yang; Manyande, Anne; Clark, Taane G; Li, Jin-Ping; Orhan, Ilkay Erdogan; Tian, Yu-Ke; Wang, Tao; Wu, Wei; Ye, Da-Wei

Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China. (2020) Endo, Akira; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Abbott, Sam; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian

The cost-effectiveness of controlling dengue in Indonesia using wMel Wolbachia released at scale: a modelling study. (2020) Brady, Oliver J; Kharisma, Dinar D; Wilastonegoro, Nandyan N; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Hendrickx, Emilie; Bastos, Leonardo S; Yakob, Laith; Shepard, Donald S

Framing and signalling effects of taxes on sugary drinks: A discrete choice experiment among households in Great Britain. (2020) Cornelsen, Laura; Quaife, Matthew; Lagarde, Mylene; Smith, Richard D

Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. (2020) Russell, Timothy W; Hellewell, Joel; Jarvis, Christopher I; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Ratnayake, Ruwan; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J

Number of HIV-1 founder variants is determined by the recency of the source partner infection. (2020) Villabona-Arenas, Ch Julián; Hall, Matthew; Lythgoe, Katrina A; Gaffney, Stephen G; Regoes, Roland R; Hué, Stéphane; Atkins, Katherine E

Spatial regression and spillover effects in cluster randomized trials with count outcomes. (2020) Anaya-Izquierdo, Karim; Alexander, Neal

Selective whole genome amplification of Plasmodium malariae DNA from clinical samples reveals insights into population structure. (2020) Ibrahim, Amy; Diez Benavente, Ernest; Nolder, Debbie; Proux, Stephane; Higgins, Matthew; Muwanguzi, Julian; Gomez Gonzalez, Paula Josefina; Fuehrer, Hans-Peter; Roper, Cally; Nosten, Francois; Sutherland, Colin; Clark, Taane G; Campino, Susana

Effectiveness of interventions targeting air travellers for delaying local outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2. (2020) Clifford, Samuel; Pearson, Carl AB; Klepac, Petra; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Quilty, Billy J; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Eggo, Rosalind M; Flasche, Stefan

Differences in the frequency of genetic variants associated with iron imbalance among global populations. (2020) Jallow, Momodou W; Cerami, Carla; Clark, Taane G; Prentice, Andrew M; Campino, Susana

Economic Evaluation of Population-Based BRCA1/BRCA2 Mutation Testing across Multiple Countries and Health Systems. (2020) Manchanda, Ranjit; Sun, Li; Patel, Shreeya; Evans, Olivia; Wilschut, Janneke; De Freitas Lopes, Ana Carolina; Gaba, Faiza; Brentnall, Adam; Duffy, Stephen; Cui, Bin; Coelho De Soarez, Patricia; Husain, Zakir; Hopper, John; Sadique, Zia; Mukhopadhyay, Asima; Yang, Li; Berkhof, Johannes; Legood, Rosa

Fairer financing of vaccines in a world living with COVID-19. (2020) Megiddo, Itamar; Nonvignon, Justice; Owusu, Richmond; Chalkidou, Kalipso; Colson, Abigail; Gad, Mohamed; Klepac, Petra; Ruiz, Francis; Morton, Alec

A spatio-temporal approach to short-term prediction of visceral leishmaniasis diagnoses in India. (2020) Nightingale, Emily S; Chapman, Lloyd AC; Srikantiah, Sridhar; Subramanian, Swaminathan; Jambulingam, Purushothaman; Bracher, Johannes; Cameron, Mary M; Medley, Graham F

Probabilistic reconstruction of measles transmission clusters from routinely collected surveillance data. (2020) Robert, Alexis; Kucharski, Adam J; Gastañaduy, Paul A; Paul, Prabasaj; Funk, Sebastian

June 2020

Seasonal Influenza Vaccination During Pregnancy and the Risk of Major Congenital Malformations in Live-born Infants: A 2010-2016 Historical Cohort Study. (2020) Peppa, Maria; Thomas, Sara L; Minassian, Caroline; Walker, Jemma L; McDonald, Helen I; Andrews, Nick J; Kempley, Stephen T; Mangtani, Punam

Tailoring Immunization Programmes: using patient file data to explore vaccination uptake and associated factors. (2020) Musa, Sanjin; Bach Habersaat, Katrine; Jackson, Cath; Kulo, Aida; Primorac, Emilija; Smjecanin, Mirsad; Funk, Sebastian

SOCRATES: an online tool leveraging a social contact data sharing initiative to assess mitigation strategies for COVID-19. (2020) Willem, Lander; Van Hoang, Thang; Funk, Sebastian; Coletti, Pietro; Beutels, Philippe; Hens, Niel

Global, regional, and national estimates of the population at increased risk of severe COVID-19 due to underlying health conditions in 2020: a modelling study. (2020) Clark, Andrew; Jit, Mark; Warren-Gash, Charlotte; Guthrie, Bruce; Wang, Harry HX; Mercer, Stewart W; Sanderson, Colin; McKee, Martin; Troeger, Christopher; Ong, Kanyin L; Checchi, Francesco; Perel, Pablo; Joseph, Sarah; Gibbs, Hamish P; Banerjee, Amitava; Eggo, Rosalind M; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV

Erratum to: Trachoma Prevalence After Discontinuation of Mass Azithromycin Distribution. (2020) Godwin, William; Prada, Joaquin M; Emerson, Paul; Hooper, PJ; Bakhtiari, Ana; Deiner, Michael; Porco, Travis C; Mahmud, Hamidah; Landskroner, Emma; Hollingsworth, T Deirdre; Medley, Graham F; Pinsent, Amy; Bailey, Robin; Lietman, Thomas M; Oldenburg, Catherine E

Use of pyriproxyfen in control of Aedes mosquitoes: A systematic review. (2020) Hustedt, John Christian; Boyce, Ross; Bradley, John; Hii, Jeffrey; Alexander, Neal

The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries. (2020) Walker, Patrick GT; Whittaker, Charles; Watson, Oliver J; Baguelin, Marc; Winskill, Peter; Hamlet, Arran; Djafaara, Bimandra A; Cucunubá, Zulma; Olivera Mesa, Daniela; Green, Will; Thompson, Hayley; Nayagam, Shevanthi; Ainslie, Kylie EC; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Bhatt, Samir; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Boyd, Olivia; Brazeau, Nicholas F; Cattarino, Lorenzo; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Dighe, Amy; Donnelly, Christl A; Dorigatti, Ilaria; van Elsland, Sabine L; FitzJohn, Rich; Fu, Han; Gaythorpe, Katy AM; Geidelberg, Lily; Grassly, Nicholas; Haw, David; Hayes, Sarah; Hinsley, Wes; Imai, Natsuko; Jorgensen, David; Knock, Edward; Laydon, Daniel; Mishra, Swapnil; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Okell, Lucy C; Unwin, H Juliette; Verity, Robert; Vollmer, Michaela; Walters, Caroline E; Wang, Haowei; Wang, Yuanrong; Xi, Xiaoyue; Lalloo, David G; Ferguson, Neil M; Ghani, Azra C

Estimating the contribution of different age strata to vaccine serotype pneumococcal transmission in the pre vaccine era: a modelling study. (2020) Flasche, Stefan; Lipsitch, Marc; Ojal, John; Pinsent, Amy

Sampling bias and incorrect rooting make phylogenetic network tracing of SARS-COV-2 infections unreliable. (2020) Mavian, Carla; Pond, Sergei Kosakovsky; Marini, Simone; Magalis, Brittany Rife; Vandamme, Anne-Mieke; Dellicour, Simon; Scarpino, Samuel V; Houldcroft, Charlotte; Villabona-Arenas, Julian; Paisie, Taylor K; Trovão, Nídia S; Boucher, Christina; Zhang, Yun; Scheuermann, Richard H; Gascuel, Olivier; Lam, Tommy Tsan-Yuk; Suchard, Marc A; Abecasis, Ana; Wilkinson, Eduan; de Oliveira, Tulio; Bento, Ana I; Schmidt, Heiko A; Martin, Darren; Hadfield, James; Faria, Nuno; Grubaugh, Nathan D; Neher, Richard A; Baele, Guy; Lemey, Philippe; Stadler, Tanja; Albert, Jan; Crandall, Keith A; Leitner, Thomas; Stamatakis, Alexandros; Prosperi, Mattia; Salemi, Marco

The potential impact of COVID-19-related disruption on tuberculosis burden. (2020) McQuaid, C Finn; McCreesh, Nicky; Read, Jonathan M; Sumner, Tom; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Houben, Rein MGJ; White, Richard G; Harris, Rebecca C

Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. (2020) Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV

On the fallibility of simulation models in informing pandemic responses - Authors' reply. (2020) Hellewell, Joel; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M

Assessing community health worker service delivery in humanitarian settings. (2020) Miller, Nathan P; Richards, Adam K; Marx, Melissa A; Checchi, Francesco; Kozuki, Naoko

Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 - Authors' reply. (2020) Eggo, Rosalind M; Hellewell, Joel; Funk, Sebastian

When, Who, and How to Sample: Designing Practical Surveillance for 7 Neglected Tropical Diseases as We Approach Elimination. (2020) Toor, Jaspreet; Coffeng, Luc E; Hamley, Jonathan ID; Fronterre, Claudio; Prada, Joaquin M; Castaño, M Soledad; Davis, Emma L; Godwin, William; Vasconcelos, Andreia; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre

May 2020

Concealment of Potential Exposure to COVID-19 and Its Impact on Outbreak Control: Lessons from the HIV Response. (2020) Teo, Alvin Kuo Jing; Tan, Rayner Kay Jin; Prem, Kiesha

Tuberculosis infection prevention and control: why we need a whole systems approach. (2020) Kielmann, Karina; Karat, Aaron S; Zwama, Gimenne; Colvin, Christopher; Swartz, Alison; Voce, Anna S; Yates, Tom A; MacGregor, Hayley; McCreesh, Nicky; Kallon, Idriss; Vassall, Anna; Govender, Indira; Seeley, Janet; Grant, Alison D

Spatiotemporal and Socioeconomic Risk Factors for Dengue at the Province Level in Vietnam, 2013-2015: Clustering Analysis and Regression Model. (2020) Ashmore, Polly; Lindahl, Johanna F; Colón-González, Felipe J; Sinh Nam, Vu; Quang Tan, Dang; Medley, Graham F

The risk of multidrug- or rifampicin-resistance in males versus females with tuberculosis. (2020) McQuaid, C Finn; Horton, Katherine C; Dean, Anna S; Knight, Gwenan M; White, Richard G

Phylogenetic interpretation during outbreaks requires caution. (2020) Villabona-Arenas, Ch Julián; Hanage, William P; Tully, Damien C

Early impact of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic and physical distancing measures on routine childhood vaccinations in England, January to April 2020. (2020) McDonald, Helen I; Tessier, Elise; White, Joanne M; Woodruff, Matthew; Knowles, Charlotte; Bates, Chris; Parry, John; Walker, Jemma L; Scott, J Anthony; Smeeth, Liam; Yarwood, Joanne; Ramsay, Mary; Edelstein, Michael

Tooling-up for infectious disease transmission modelling. (2020) Baguelin, Marc; Medley, Graham F; Nightingale, Emily S; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Rees, Eleanor M; Waterlow, Naomi R; Wagner, Moritz

The impact of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on health systems and household resources in Africa and South Asia. (2020) Davies, Nicholas; Sweeney, Sedona; Torres-Rueda, Sergio; Bozzani, Fiammetta; Kitson, Nichola; Barasa, Edwine; Procter, Simon R; Quaife, Matthew; Eggo, Rosalind M; Vassall, Anna; Jit, Mark

Quantifying the impact of physical distance measures on the transmission of COVID-19 in the UK. (2020) Jarvis, Christopher I; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Gimma, Amy; Prem, Kiesha; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Klepac, Petra; Rubin, G James; Edmunds, W John

Quantifying the impact of physical distance measures on the transmission of COVID-19 in the UK. (2020) Jarvis, Christopher I; Van Zandvoort, Kevin; Gimma, Amy; Prem, Kiesha; Klepac, Petra; Rubin, G James; Edmunds, W John

Estimating number of cases and spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using critical care admissions, United Kingdom, February to March 2020. (2020) Jit, Mark; Jombart, Thibaut; Nightingale, Emily S; Endo, Akira; Abbott, Sam; LSHTM Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases C; Edmunds, W John

Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020. (2020) Pearson, Carl Ab; Van Schalkwyk, Cari; Foss, Anna M; O'Reilly, Kathleen M; SACEMA Modelling and Analysis Response Team; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Pulliam, Juliet Rc

The economic burden of cervical cancer from diagnosis to one year after final discharge in Henan Province, China: A retrospective case series study. (2020) Wu, Qianhui; Jia, Manman; Chen, Hongmin; Zhang, Shaokai; Liu, Yang; Prem, Kiesha; Qian, Mengcen; Yu, Hongjie

Effective transmission across the globe: the role of climate in COVID-19 mitigation strategies. (2020) O'Reilly, Kathleen M; Auzenbergs, Megan; Jafari, Yalda; Liu, Yang; Flasche, Stefan; Lowe, Rachel

Cost of illness for childhood diarrhea in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review of evidence and modelled estimates. (2020) Baral, Ranju; Nonvignon, Justice; Debellut, Frédéric; Agyemang, Samuel Agyei; Clark, Andrew; Pecenka, Clint

An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: serosolver. (2020) Hay, James A; Minter, Amanda; Ainslie, Kylie EC; Lessler, Justin; Yang, Bingyi; Cummings, Derek AT; Kucharski, Adam J; Riley, Steven

What settings have been linked to SARS-CoV-2 transmission clusters? (2020) Leclerc, Quentin J; Fuller, Naomi M; Knight, Lisa E; CMMID COVID-19 Working Group; Funk, Sebastian; Knight, Gwenan M

April 2020

Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. (2020) Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John

Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. (2020) Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John

How many are at increased risk of severe COVID-19 disease? Rapid global, regional and national estimates for 2020. (2020) Clark, Andrew; Jit, Mark; Warren-Gash, Charlotte; Guthrie, Bruce; Wang, Harry HX; Mercer, Stewart W; Sanderson, Colin; McKee, Martin; Troeger, Christopher; Ong, Kanyin I; Checchi, Francesco; Perel, Pablo; Joseph, Sarah; Gibbs, Hamish P; Banerjee, Amitava; Eggo, Rosalind M

Higher gametocyte production and mosquito infectivity in chronic compared to incident Plasmodium falciparum infections. (2020) Barry, Aissata; Bradley, John; Stone, Will; Guelbeogo, Moussa W; Lanke, Kjerstin; Ouedraogo, Alphonse; Soulama, Issiaka; Nébié, Issa; Serme, Samuel S; Grignard, Lynn; Patterson, Catriona; Wu, Lindsey; Briggs, Jessica J; Janson, Owen; Awandu, Shehu S; Ouedraogo, Mireille; Tarama, Casimire W; Kargougou, Désiré; Zongo, Soumanaba; Sirima, Sodiomon B; Marti, Matthias; Drakeley, Chris; Tiono, Alfred B; Bousema, Teun

Invisible spread of SARS-CoV-2 - Authors' reply. (2020) Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M

The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. (2020) Davies, Nicholas G; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Gimma, Amy; Edmunds, W John

Childhood vaccination coverage and equity impact in Ethiopia by socioeconomic, geographic, maternal, and child characteristics. (2020) Geweniger, Anne; Abbas, Kaja M

Adoption and impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19. (2020) Imai, Natsuko; Gaythorpe, Katy AM; Abbott, Sam; Bhatia, Sangeeta; van Elsland, Sabine; Prem, Kiesha; Liu, Yang; Ferguson, Neil M

The contribution of pre-symptomatic infection to the transmission dynamics of COVID-2019. (2020) Liu, Yang; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases nCoV Wo; Funk, Sebastian; Flasche, Stefan

Mobilising community networks for early identification of tuberculosis and treatment initiation in Cambodia: an evaluation of a seed-and-recruit model. (2020) Teo, Alvin Kuo Jing; Prem, Kiesha; Tuot, Sovannary; Ork, Chetra; Eng, Sothearith; Pande, Tripti; Chry, Monyrath; Hsu, Li Yang; Yi, Siyan

March 2020

Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020. (2020) Russell, Timothy W; Hellewell, Joel; Jarvis, Christopher I; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Abbott, Sam; Ratnayake, Ruwan; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M; Edmunds, W John; Kucharski, Adam J

The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. (2020) Prem, Kiesha; Liu, Yang; Russell, Timothy W; Kucharski, Adam J; Eggo, Rosalind M; Davies, Nicholas; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Jit, Mark; Klepac, Petra

The Population Attributable Fraction (PAF) of cases due to gatherings and groups with relevance to COVID-19 mitigation strategies. (2020) Brooks-Pollock, Ellen; Read, Jonathan M; House, Thomas; Medley, Graham F; Keeling, Matt J; Danon, Leon

Feasibility of controlling 2019-nCoV outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. (2020) Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M

Secondary attack rate and superspreading events for SARS-CoV-2. (2020) Liu, Yang; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J

Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. (2020) Jombart, Thibaut; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Russell, Timothy W; Jarvis, Christopher I; Gimma, Amy; Abbott, Sam; Clifford, Sam; Funk, Sebastian; Gibbs, Hamish; Liu, Yang; Pearson, Carl AB; Bosse, Nikos I; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Eggo, Rosalind M; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John

Integrating epidemiological and genetic data with different sampling intensities into a dynamic model of respiratory syncytial virus transmission. (2020) Kombe, Ivy K; Agoti, Charles N; Munywoki, Patrick K; Nokes, D James; Medley, Graham F

Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. (2020) Kucharski, Adam J; Russell, Timothy W; Diamond, Charlie; Liu, Yang; Edmunds, John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-1

February 2020

Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. (2020) Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COV; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M

The use of islands and cluster-randomized trials to investigate vector control interventions: a case study on the Bijagós archipelago, Guinea-Bissau. (2020) Jones, Robert T; Pretorius, Elizabeth; Ant, Thomas H; Bradley, John; Last, Anna; Logan, James G

Estimated effectiveness of symptom and risk screening to prevent the spread of COVID-19. (2020) Gostic, Katelyn; Gomez, Ana Cr; Mummah, Riley O; Kucharski, Adam J; Lloyd-Smith, James O

Post-tuberculosis mortality and morbidity: valuing the hidden epidemic. (2020) Quaife, Matthew; Houben, Rein MGJ; Allwood, Brian; Cohen, Ted; Coussens, Anna K; Harries, Anthony D; van Kampen, Sanne; Marx, Florian M; Sweeney, Sedona; Wallis, Robert S; Menzies, Nicolas A

Is modelling complexity always needed? Insights from modelling PrEP introduction in South Africa. (2020) Grant, Hannah; Foss, Anna M; Watts, Charlotte; Medley, Graham F; Mukandavire, Zindoga

Effectiveness of airport screening at detecting travellers infected with novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). (2020) Quilty, Billy J; Clifford, Sam; CMMID nCoV working group2; Flasche, Stefan; Eggo, Rosalind M

Integrating viral RNA sequence and epidemiological data to define transmission patterns for respiratory syncytial virus. (2020) Kombe, IK

Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. (2020) Kucharski, Adam J; Russell, Timothy W; Diamond, Charlie; Liu, Yang; Edmunds, John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M

Subnational burden estimation in Tuberculosis: generation and application of a new tool in Indonesia. (2020) Houben, Rein; Parwati, Cicilia Gita; Farid, Muhammad Noor; Nasution, Helmi Suryani; Sulistyo, Sulistyo; Basri, Carmelia; Gebhard, Agnes; Tiemersma, Edine; Pambudi, Imran; Surya, Asik

Environmental factors affecting ecological niche of Coccidioides species and spatial dynamics of valley fever in the United States. (2020) Weaver, Elizabeth; Kolivras, Korine N; Thomas, R Quinn; Thomas, Valarie A; Abbas, Kaja M

Effects of updated demography, disability weights, and cervical cancer burden on estimates of human papillomavirus vaccination impact at the global, regional, and national levels: a PRIME modelling study. (2020) Abbas, Kaja M; van Zandvoort, Kevin; Brisson, Marc; Jit, Mark

January 2020

Zika seroprevalence declines and neutralizing antibodies wane in adults following outbreaks in French Polynesia and Fiji. (2020) Henderson, Alasdair D; Aubry, Maite; Kama, Mike; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Teissier, Anita; Mariteragi-Helle, Teheipuaura; Paoaafaite, Tuterarii; Teissier, Yoann; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; Edmunds, John; Whitworth, Jimmy; Watson, Conall H; Lau, Colleen L; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai; Kucharski, Adam J

Low chikungunya virus seroprevalence two years after emergence in Fiji. (2020) Aubry, Maite; Kama, Mike; Henderson, Alasdair D; Teissier, Anita; Vanhomwegen, Jessica; Mariteragi-Helle, Teheipuaura; Paoaafaite, Tuterarii; Manuguerra, Jean-Claude; Christi, Ketan; Watson, Conall H; Lau, Colleen L; Kucharski, Adam J; Cao-Lormeau, Van-Mai

Emergence of multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis of the Beijing lineage in Portugal and Guinea-Bissau: a snapshot of moving clones by whole-genome sequencing. (2020) Perdigão, João; Silva, Carla; Maltez, Fernando; Machado, Diana; Miranda, Anabela; Couto, Isabel; Rabna, Paulo; Florez de Sessions, Paola; Phelan, Jody; Pain, Arnab; McNerney, Ruth; Hibberd, Martin L; Mokrousov, Igor; Clark, Taane G; Viveiros, Miguel; Portugal, Isabel

Combining structure and genomics to understand antimicrobial resistance. (2020) Tunstall, Tanushree; Portelli, Stephanie; Phelan, Jody; Clark, Taane G; Ascher, David B; Furnham, Nicholas

The transmissibility of novel Coronavirus in the early stages of the 2019-20 outbreak in Wuhan: Exploring initial point-source exposure sizes and durations using scenario analysis. (2020) Abbott, Sam; Hellewell, Joel; Munday, James; CMMID nCoV working group; Funk, Sebastian

Distribution of hygiene kits during a cholera outbreak in Kasaï-Oriental, Democratic Republic of Congo: a process evaluation. (2020) D'Mello-Guyett, Lauren; Greenland, Katie; Bonneville, Sharla; D'hondt, Rob; Mashako, Maria; Gorski, Alexandre; Verheyen, Dorien; Van den Bergh, Rafael; Maes, Peter; Checchi, Francesco; Cumming, Oliver

2020

Population age structure only partially explains the large number of COVID-19 deaths at the oldest ages. (2020) Medford, Anthony; Trias-Llimós, Sergi