Using high-resolution contact networks to evaluate SARS-CoV-2 transmission and control in large-scale multi-day events.

Rachael Pung ORCID logo; Josh A Firth ORCID logo; Lewis G Spurgin ORCID logo; Singapore CruiseSafe working group; CMMID COVID-19 working group; Vernon J Lee; Adam J Kucharski ORCID logo; (2022) Using high-resolution contact networks to evaluate SARS-CoV-2 transmission and control in large-scale multi-day events. Nature Communications, 13 (1). 1956-. ISSN 2041-1723 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29522-y
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The emergence of highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants has created a need to reassess the risk posed by increasing social contacts as countries resume pre-pandemic activities, particularly in the context of resuming large-scale events over multiple days. To examine how social contacts formed in different activity settings influences interventions required to control Delta variant outbreaks, we collected high-resolution data on contacts among passengers and crew on cruise ships and combined the data with network transmission models. We found passengers had a median of 20 (IQR 10-36) unique close contacts per day, and over 60% of their contact episodes were made in dining or sports areas where mask wearing is typically limited. In simulated outbreaks, we found that vaccination coverage and rapid antigen tests had a larger effect than mask mandates alone, indicating the importance of combined interventions against Delta to reduce event risk in the vaccine era.


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