Serial intervals observed in SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 variant cases

Rachael Pung ORCID logo; Tze Minn Mak; Adam J Kucharski ORCID logo; Vernon J Lee; (2021) Serial intervals observed in SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 variant cases. medRxiv preprint. ISSN 1468-5833 DOI: 10.1101/2021.06.04.21258205
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<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Rapid growth of the SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.617.2 has been observed in many countries. The factors driving the recent rapid growth of COVID-19 cases could be attributed to shorten generation intervals or higher transmissibility (effective reproduction number, R), or both. Establishing the reasons for the observed rapid growth is key for outbreak control. In this study, we analysed the serial interval of household transmission pairs infected with SARS-CoV-2 B.1.617.2 variant and compared with those who were infected prior to the occurrence of the major global SARS-CoV-2 variants. After controlling for confounding factors, our findings suggest no significant changes in the serial intervals for SARS-CoV-2 cases infected with the B.1.617.2 variant. This, in turn, lends support for the hypothesis of a higher R in B.1.617.2 cases.</jats:p>


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