[Covid-19 in the Northeast of Brazil: from lockdown to the relaxation of social distancing measures].

Ricardo Arraes de Alencar Ximenes ORCID logo; Maria de Fatima Pessoa Militão de Albuquerque ORCID logo; Celina Maria Turchi Martelli ORCID logo; Thália Velho Barreto de Araújo ORCID logo; Demócrito de Barros Miranda Filho ORCID logo; Wayner Vieira de Souza ORCID logo; Maria Yury Travassos Ichihara ORCID logo; Pedro Israel Cabral de Lira ORCID logo; Ligia Regina Franco Sansigolo Kerr ORCID logo; Estela Ml Aquino ORCID logo; +16 more... Antônio Augusto Moura da Silva ORCID logo; Rosa Lívia Freitas de Almeida ORCID logo; Carl Kendall ORCID logo; Julia M Pescarini ORCID logo; Sinval Pinto Brandão Filho ORCID logo; Naomar Almeida-Filho ORCID logo; Juliane Fonseca de Oliveira ORCID logo; Carlos Teles ORCID logo; Daniel Cardoso Pereira Jorge ORCID logo; Guilherme Santana ORCID logo; Ligia Gabrielli ORCID logo; Moreno Ms Rodrigues ORCID logo; Natanael Jesus da Silva ORCID logo; Rafael Felipe da Silva Souza ORCID logo; Vivian Alessandra Ferreira da Silva ORCID logo; Maurício Lima Barreto ORCID logo; (2021) [Covid-19 in the Northeast of Brazil: from lockdown to the relaxation of social distancing measures]. Ciencia & saude coletiva, 26 (4). pp. 1441-1456. ISSN 1413-8123 DOI: 10.1590/1413-81232021264.39422020
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Even in the period when the Covid-19 pandemic was on the rise in the Northeast of Brazil, the relaxation of social distancing measures was introduced. The scope of the study is to assess, in the light of the epidemiological-sanitary situation in the region, the suitability of relaxation of social distancing measures. Based on the WHO guidelines for relaxation of social distancing, operational indicators were created and analyzed for each guideline in the context of the Northeast. To analyze the behavior of the epidemic, according to selected indicators, Joinpoint trend analysis techniques, heat maps, rate ratios and time trends between capitals and the state interior were compared. The weekly growth peak of the epidemic occurred in May-July 2020 (epidemiological weeks 19 to 31). In most capitals, there was no simultaneous downward trend in the number of cases and deaths in the 14 days prior to flexibilization. In all states the number of tests performed was insufficient. In epidemiological week 24, the state percentages of ICU/Covid-19 bed occupancy were close to or above 70%. The epidemiological situation of the nine Northeastern state capitals analyzed here did not meet criteria and parameters recommended by the World Health Organization for the relaxation of social distancing measures.



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