Herd Immunity against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infection in 10 Communities, Qatar.

AndrewJeremijenko; Hiam Chemaitelly ORCID logo; Houssein HAyoub; MozaAlishaq; Abdul-BadiAbou-Samra; Jameela Ali AAAl Ajmi; Nasser Ali AsadAl Ansari; ZainaAl Kanaani; AbdullatifAl Khal; EinasAl Kuwari; +21 more... AhmedAl-Mohammed; Naema Hassan AbdullaAl Molawi; Huda MohamadAl Naomi; Adeel AButt; PeterCoyle; Reham AwniEl Kahlout; ImtiazGillani; Anvar HassanKaleeckal; Naseer AhmadMasoodi; Anil GeorgeThomas; HanaaNafady-Hego; Ali NizarLatif; Riyazuddin MohammadShaik; Nourah BMYounes; Hanan F AbdulRahim; Hadi MYassine; Mohamed GAl Kuwari; Hamad EidAl Romaihi; Mohamed HAl-Thani; RobertoBertollini; Laith JAbu-Raddad; (2021) Herd Immunity against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infection in 10 Communities, Qatar. Emerging infectious diseases, 27 (5). pp. 1343-1352. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: 10.3201/eid2705.204365
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We investigated what proportion of the population acquired severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and whether the herd immunity threshold has been reached in 10 communities in Qatar. The study included 4,970 participants during June 21-September 9, 2020. Antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 were detected by using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Seropositivity ranged from 54.9% (95% CI 50.2%-59.4%) to 83.8% (95% CI 79.1%-87.7%) across communities and showed a pooled mean of 66.1% (95% CI 61.5%-70.6%). A range of other epidemiologic measures indicated that active infection is rare, with limited if any sustainable infection transmission for clusters to occur. Only 5 infections were ever severe and 1 was critical in these young communities; infection severity rate of 0.2% (95% CI 0.1%-0.4%). Specific communities in Qatar have or nearly reached herd immunity for SARS-CoV-2 infection: 65%-70% of the population has been infected.



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