Can improved diagnostics reduce mortality from Tuberculous meningitis? Findings from a 6.5-year cohort in Uganda

Fiona V Cresswell ORCID logo; Ananta S Bangdiwala ORCID logo; Nathan C Bahr ORCID logo; Emily Trautner ORCID logo; Edwin Nuwagira; Jayne P Ellis ORCID logo; Radha Rajasingham; Joshua Rhein ORCID logo; Darlisha A Williams; Conrad Muzoora; +3 more... Alison M Elliott ORCID logo; David B Meya ORCID logo; David R Boulware ORCID logo; (2018) Can improved diagnostics reduce mortality from Tuberculous meningitis? Findings from a 6.5-year cohort in Uganda. Wellcome Open Research, 3. p. 64. DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.14610.1
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<ns4:p><ns4:bold>Background:</ns4:bold> Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is the second most common cause of meningitis in sub-Saharan Africa and is notoriously difficult to diagnose. We describe the impact of improved TBM diagnostics over 6.5 years at two Ugandan referral hospitals.</ns4:p><ns4:p> <ns4:bold>Methods: </ns4:bold>Cohort one received cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) smear microscopy only (2010-2013). Cohort two received smear microscopy and Xpert MTB/Rif (Xpert) on 1ml unprocessed CSF at physician discretion (2011-2013). Cohort three received smear microscopy, routine liquid-media culture and Xpert on large volume centrifuged CSF (2013-2017) for all meningitis suspects with a negative CSF cryptococcal antigen. We compared rates of microbiologically confirmed TBM and hospital outcomes over time.</ns4:p><ns4:p> <ns4:bold>Results: </ns4:bold>1672 HIV-infected adults presenting with suspected meningitis underwent lumbar puncture, of which 33% (558/1672) had negative CSF cryptococcal antigen and 12% (195/1672) were treated for TB meningitis. Over the study period, microbiological confirmation of TBM increased from 3% to 41% (P&lt;0.01) and there was a decline in in-hospital mortality from 57% to 41% (P=0.27) amongst those with a known outcome. Adjusting for definite TBM diagnosis and antiretroviral therapy use, and using imputed data, assuming 50% of those with an unknown outcome died, the odds of dying were nearly twice as high in cohort one (adjusted odds ratio 1.7, 95% CI 0.7 to 4.4) compared to cohort three.  Sensitivity of Xpert was 63% (38/60) and culture was 65% (39/60) against a composite reference standard.</ns4:p><ns4:p> <ns4:bold>Conclusions: </ns4:bold>As TBM diagnostics have improved, microbiologically-confirmed TBM diagnoses have increased and in-hospital mortality has declined. Yet, mortality due to TB meningitis remains unacceptably high and further measures are needed to improve outcomes from TBM in Uganda.</ns4:p>


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