Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship

Timothy W Russell ORCID logo; Joel Hellewell ORCID logo; Christopher I Jarvis ORCID logo; Kevin Van Zandvoort ORCID logo; Sam Abbott ORCID logo; Ruwan Ratnayake ORCID logo; Stefan Flasche ORCID logo; Rosalind M Eggo ORCID logo; W John Edmunds ORCID logo; Adam J Kucharski; (2020) Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. BMJ global health. ISSN 2059-7908 DOI: 10.1101/2020.03.05.20031773
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<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Adjusting for delay from confirmation-to-death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for COVID-19 on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.3% (0.75%–5.3%) and 1.2% (0.38–2.7%). Comparing deaths onboard with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates using China data, we estimate IFR and CFR in China to be 0.5% (95% CI: 0.2–1.2%) and 1.1% (95% CI: 0.3–2.4%) respectively.</jats:p><jats:sec><jats:title>Aim</jats:title><jats:p>To estimate the infection and case fatality ratio of COVID-19, using data from passengers of the Diamond Princess cruise ship while correcting for delays between confirmation-and-death, and age-structure of the population.</jats:p></jats:sec>


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