Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship
Timothy W Russell
;
Joel Hellewell
;
Christopher I Jarvis
;
Kevin Van Zandvoort
;
Sam Abbott
;
Ruwan Ratnayake
;
Stefan Flasche
;
Rosalind M Eggo
;
W John Edmunds
;
Adam J Kucharski;
(2020)
Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for COVID-19 using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship.
BMJ global health.
ISSN 2059-7908
DOI: 10.1101/2020.03.05.20031773
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Adjusting for delay from confirmation-to-death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for COVID-19 on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.3% (0.75%–5.3%) and 1.2% (0.38–2.7%). Comparing deaths onboard with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates using China data, we estimate IFR and CFR in China to be 0.5% (95% CI: 0.2–1.2%) and 1.1% (95% CI: 0.3–2.4%) respectively.</jats:p><jats:sec><jats:title>Aim</jats:title><jats:p>To estimate the infection and case fatality ratio of COVID-19, using data from passengers of the Diamond Princess cruise ship while correcting for delays between confirmation-and-death, and age-structure of the population.</jats:p></jats:sec>
Item Type | Article |
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Elements ID | 145572 |
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5610-6080
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2683-0849
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0812-2446
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7770-0537
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8057-8037
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4978-6668
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5808-2606
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0362-6717
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9179-2917