What next after GDP-based cost-effectiveness thresholds?

Y-Ling Chi ORCID logo; Mark Blecher; Kalipso Chalkidou; Anthony Culyer ORCID logo; Karl Claxton; Ijeoma Edoka; Amanda Glassman; Noemi Kreif ORCID logo; Iain Jones; Andrew J Mirelman; +9 more... Mardiati Nadjib; Alec Morton; Ole Frithjof Norheim; Jessica Ochalek; Shankar Prinja; Francis Ruiz ORCID logo; Yot Teerawattananon; Anna Vassall ORCID logo; Alexander Winch; (2021) What next after GDP-based cost-effectiveness thresholds? Gates open research, 4. 176-. ISSN 2572-4754 DOI: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13201.1
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Public payers around the world are increasingly using cost-effectiveness thresholds (CETs) to assess the value-for-money of an intervention and make coverage decisions. However, there is still much confusion about the meaning and uses of the CET, how it should be calculated, and what constitutes an adequate evidence base for its formulation. One widely referenced and used threshold in the last decade has been the 1-3 GDP per capita, which is often attributed to the Commission on Macroeconomics and  WHO guidelines on Choosing Interventions that are Cost Effective (WHO-CHOICE). For many reasons, however, this threshold has been widely criticised; which has led experts across the world, including the WHO, to discourage its use. This has left a vacuum for policy-makers and technical staff at a time when countries are wanting to move towards Universal Health Coverage . This article seeks to address this gap by offering five practical options for decision-makers in low- and middle-income countries that can be used instead of the 1-3 GDP rule, to combine existing evidence with fair decision-rules or develop locally relevant CETs. It builds on existing literature as well as an engagement with a group of experts and decision-makers working in low, middle and high income countries.


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