Subclinical Tuberculosis Disease-A Review and Analysis of Prevalence Surveys to Inform Definitions, Burden, Associations, and Screening Methodology.

Beatrice Frascella; Alexandra S Richards ORCID logo; Bianca Sossen; Jon C Emery ORCID logo; Anna Odone; Irwin Law; Ikushi Onozaki; Hanif Esmail; Rein MGJ Houben ORCID logo; (2020) Subclinical Tuberculosis Disease-A Review and Analysis of Prevalence Surveys to Inform Definitions, Burden, Associations, and Screening Methodology. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 73 (3). e830-e841. ISSN 1058-4838 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa1402
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While it is known that a substantial proportion of individuals with tuberculosis disease (TB) present subclinically, usually defined as bacteriologically-confirmed but negative on symptom screening, considerable knowledge gaps remain. Our aim was to review data from TB prevalence population surveys and generate a consistent definition and framework for subclinical TB, enabling us to estimate the proportion of TB that is subclinical, explore associations with overall burden and program indicators, and evaluate the performance of screening strategies. We extracted data from all publicly available prevalence surveys conducted since 1990. Between 36.1% and 79.7% (median, 50.4%) of prevalent bacteriologically confirmed TB was subclinical. No association was found between prevalence of subclinical and all bacteriologically confirmed TB, patient diagnostic rate, or country-level HIV prevalence (P values, .32, .4, and .34, respectively). Chest Xray detected 89% (range, 73%-98%) of bacteriologically confirmed TB, highlighting the potential of optimizing current TB case-finding policies.


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