Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.
Timothy W Russell 
;
Joel Hellewell ;
Christopher I Jarvis ;
Kevin van Zandvoort ;
Sam Abbott ;
Ruwan Ratnayake ;
CMMID COVID-19 working group;
Stefan Flasche ;
Rosalind M Eggo ;
W John Edmunds ;
+1 more...
Adam J Kucharski ;
(2020)
Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.
Euro Surveill, 25 (12).
ISSN 1560-7917
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000256
;
Joel Hellewell ;
Christopher I Jarvis ;
Kevin van Zandvoort ;
Sam Abbott ;
Ruwan Ratnayake ;
CMMID COVID-19 working group;
Stefan Flasche ;
Rosalind M Eggo ;
W John Edmunds ;
+1 more...
Adam J Kucharski ;
(2020)
Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.
Euro Surveill, 25 (12).
ISSN 1560-7917
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000256
Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-6.7) and 1.3% (95% CI: 0.38-3.6), respectively. Comparing deaths on board with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates from China, we estimated CFR and IFR in China to be 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3-2.7) and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2-1.3), respectively.
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picture_as_pdf - eurosurv-25-12-3.pdf
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- Available under Creative Commons: 3.0
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