Model sensitivity and uncertainty analysis using roadside air quality measurements
Sotiris Vardoulakis;
Bernard EA Fisher;
Norbert Gonzalez-Flesca;
Koulis Pericleous;
(2002)
Model sensitivity and uncertainty analysis using roadside air quality measurements.
Atmospheric environment (Oxford, England, 36 (13).
pp. 2121-2134.
ISSN 1352-2310
DOI: 10.1016/s1352-2310(02)00201-7
Most of the air quality modelling work has been so far oriented towards deterministic simulations of ambient pollutant concentrations. This traditional approach, which is based on the use of one selected model and one data set of discrete input values, does not reflect the uncertainties due to errors in model formulation and input data. Given the complexities of urban environments and the inherent limitations of mathematical modelling, it is unlikely that a single model based on routinely available meteorological and emission data will give satisfactory short-term predictions.
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